TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13077814
Played Sep 5Finished
Denis Ivonin
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214411911––––
Kazuki Hamada
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeKazuki Hamada to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenis Ivonin above · Kazuki Hamada below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Kazuki Hamada at 64.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Denis Ivonin 0–1 Kazuki Hamada Denis Ivonin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:40What took a side1 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hamada
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Ivonin 80% vs Hamada 60%
Ivonin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivonin 90% vs Hamada 60%
Ivonin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivonin +4 · Hamada +2
Ivonin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hamada)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivonin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvonin 2.63 / Hamada 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Hamada)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13077814
Ivonin2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Hamada1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIvonin0wins
AwayHamada1wins
Hamada leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricIvoninHamadaI − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.036.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvoninHamadaBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 6 / 1090%60%9 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HamadaIvonin 2.63/Hamada 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Hamada · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hamada won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 06:00D. Ivonin—12490K. Hamada—1411113
D. Ivonin10
WSep 4 · 06:45M. Shah1.228660D. Ivonin4.001111113WSep 3 · 06:45R. Walther1.2893121162D. Ivonin3.501111108113WSep 2 · 12:45S. Iskandarov5.501251351D. Ivonin1.13101115113WSep 2 · 05:00T. Jiyenbayev—10250D. Ivonin—1211113LJul 27 · 14:35F. Bourrassaud1.4111711113D. Ivonin2.60711791WJul 27 · 08:55D. Ivonin1.671111113B. Kim2.106890WJul 26 · 07:55S. Gulomiddinov10.504370D. Ivonin1.021111113WJul 25 · 13:20D. Ivonin—151112113S. Zhubanov—1741071WJul 25 · 08:00D. Ivonin—1111113R. Dutta—2750WJul 24 · 14:45D. Ivonin—1111113K. Teshaboev—6250
K. Hamada10
LSep 5 · 12:45S. Togami1.171111113K. Hamada4.409870WSep 4 · 05:35M. Karlsson1.73117111292K. Hamada2.00711414113WSep 3 · 05:00E. Dorr2.38111291032K. Hamada1.536101112113LJun 16 · 11:35K. Hamada1.139115101A. Naranjo5.5011911123LJun 11 · 11:20R. Wen1.1411118113K. Hamada5.00881141WJun 10 · 17:00M. Badowski2.3811914101K. Hamada1.5371116123WJun 10 · 10:55M. Kubik2.1011811692K. Hamada1.67911911113WJun 9 · 18:50C. Meissner3.4081111772K. Hamada1.30119511113LMay 12 · 16:20K. Yiu—11911133K. Hamada—6118111LMar 16 · 17:15K. Hamada1.40111111782C. Andras2.75136211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.