TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13066030
Played Sep 3Finished
Ricardo Walther
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9113111210118611
Denis Ivonin
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:50 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeRicardo Walther to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRicardo Walther above · Denis Ivonin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Ricardo Walther at 75.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Ricardo Walther 0–1 Denis Ivonin Ricardo Walther has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:50What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Walther
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Walther 40% vs Ivonin 80%
Ivonin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walther 40% vs Ivonin 80%
Ivonin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walther -1 · Ivonin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Walther) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivonin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalther 1.28 / Ivonin 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Walther)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13066030
Walther1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ivonin3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWalther0wins
AwayIvonin1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderIvonin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWaltherIvoninW − IBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.051.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWaltherIvoninBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 8 / 1040%80%4 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WaltherWalther 1.28/Ivonin 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Walther · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivonin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 3 · 06:45R. Walther—93121162D. Ivonin—1111108113
R. Walther10
LAug 9 · 12:05R. Walther3.50811891G. Park1.2811911113WAug 8 · 15:55F. Zeljko1.835860R. Walther1.831111113LJun 27 · 18:45F. Xue1.50811911113R. Walther2.5011911662LJun 17 · 16:15R. Walther2.10591141R. Yoshiyama1.6711116113WJun 16 · 16:00R. Walther1.1711211113I. Kharki4.50711391WJun 16 · 10:20R. Walther1.36131211113L. Mladenovic3.001510861LJun 9 · 14:10L. Yuan1.2511812113R. Walther3.755111091LMay 17 · 17:50R. Walther1.73611791O. Ionescu2.0011511113LMar 27 · 11:10A. Gacina1.8311119113R. Walther1.83391111WMar 26 · 17:10N. Stoyanov—711111192R. Walther—115613113
D. Ivonin10
LSep 5 · 06:00D. Ivonin2.6312490K. Hamada1.441411113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Shah1.228660D. Ivonin4.001111113WSep 2 · 12:45S. Iskandarov5.501251351D. Ivonin1.13101115113WSep 2 · 05:00T. Jiyenbayev—10250D. Ivonin—1211113LJul 27 · 14:35F. Bourrassaud1.4111711113D. Ivonin2.60711791WJul 27 · 08:55D. Ivonin1.671111113B. Kim2.106890WJul 26 · 07:55S. Gulomiddinov10.504370D. Ivonin1.021111113WJul 25 · 13:20D. Ivonin—151112113S. Zhubanov—1741071WJul 25 · 08:00D. Ivonin—1111113R. Dutta—2750WJul 24 · 14:45D. Ivonin—1111113K. Teshaboev—6250
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