TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13065419
Played Sep 3Finished
Esteban Dorr
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11612109111012311
Kazuki Hamada
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeKazuki Hamada to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEsteban Dorr above · Kazuki Hamada below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 95 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Kazuki Hamada at 60.8%
95 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:39What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hamada
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Dorr 60% vs Hamada 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dorr 60% vs Hamada 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dorr -1 · Hamada -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hamada)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dorr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDorr 2.38 / Hamada 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hamada)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13065419
Dorr2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hamada1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDorrHamadaBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HamadaDorr 2.38/Hamada 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Hamada · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hamada won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Dorr10
LAug 7 · 06:55J. Yokotani1.44111011113E. Dorr2.63912861WAug 6 · 05:20E. Dorr1.559101111113S. Suravajjula2.2311127692WAug 6 · 03:00E. Dorr1.309101111113S. Suravajjula3.4011127692LJul 28 · 13:15E. Tikhonov1.6112711123E. Dorr2.2010116101WJul 28 · 06:10E. Dorr2.631111810113R. Kawakami1.4478111242WJul 27 · 14:00E. Dorr1.851112113L. Katsman1.8561070WJul 27 · 08:55D. Han3.756740E. Dorr1.251111113WJul 26 · 13:50F. Meng2.106690E. Dorr1.671111113LJun 16 · 10:20E. Dorr3.50151111742M. Oikawa1.28179911113LJun 4 · 17:50E. Dorr2.5058100M. Freitas1.501111123
K. Hamada10
LSep 5 · 12:45S. Togami1.171111113K. Hamada4.409870WSep 5 · 06:00D. Ivonin2.6312490K. Hamada1.441411113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Karlsson1.73117111292K. Hamada2.00711414113LJun 16 · 11:35K. Hamada1.139115101A. Naranjo5.5011911123LJun 11 · 11:20R. Wen1.1411118113K. Hamada5.00881141WJun 10 · 17:00M. Badowski2.3811914101K. Hamada1.5371116123WJun 10 · 10:55M. Kubik2.1011811692K. Hamada1.67911911113WJun 9 · 18:50C. Meissner3.4081111772K. Hamada1.30119511113LMay 12 · 16:20K. Yiu—11911133K. Hamada—6118111LMar 16 · 17:15K. Hamada1.40111111782C. Andras2.75136211113
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