TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Tashkent
WTT Feeder TashkentMatch #12310778
Played Jul 28Finished
Esteban Dorr
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171188111012114
Ryuusei Kawakami
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRyuusei Kawakami to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEsteban Dorr above · Ryuusei Kawakami below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 93 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Ryuusei Kawakami at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Esteban Dorr 1–0 Ryuusei Kawakami Ryuusei Kawakami has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:57What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kawakami
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Dorr 60% vs Kawakami 80%
Kawakami
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dorr 60% vs Kawakami 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dorr +3 · Kawakami +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kawakami) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kawakami form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDorr 2.63 / Kawakami 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Kawakami)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Tashkent · #12310778
Dorr2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kawakami1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDorr1wins
AwayKawakami0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDorr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDorrKawakamiD − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.042.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDorrKawakamiBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 5 vs 6 / 1080%60%4 / 5 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KawakamiDorr 2.63/Kawakami 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Kawakami · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dorr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 28 · 06:10E. Dorr—1111810113R. Kawakami—78111242
E. Dorr10
LSep 3 · 05:00E. Dorr2.38111291032K. Hamada1.536101112113LAug 7 · 06:55J. Yokotani1.44111011113E. Dorr2.63912861WAug 6 · 05:20E. Dorr1.559101111113S. Suravajjula2.2311127692WAug 6 · 03:00E. Dorr1.309101111113S. Suravajjula3.4011127692LJul 28 · 13:15E. Tikhonov1.6112711123E. Dorr2.2010116101WJul 27 · 14:00E. Dorr1.851112113L. Katsman1.8561070WJul 27 · 08:55D. Han3.756740E. Dorr1.251111113WJul 26 · 13:50F. Meng2.106690E. Dorr1.671111113LJun 16 · 10:20E. Dorr3.50151111742M. Oikawa1.28179911113LJun 4 · 17:50E. Dorr2.5058100M. Freitas1.501111123
R. Kawakami10
LAug 23 · 16:15H. Kwon2.2011611113R. Kawakami1.61211981WAug 23 · 09:45I. Quek1.73117581R. Kawakami2.0091111113WAug 22 · 17:25R. Kawakami2.061112683Y. Feng1.659101141WAug 22 · 11:55R. Kawakami1.8381111113K. Sambe1.83115751WAug 21 · 16:50R. Kawakami1.051111113T. Closset8.507770WJul 27 · 14:00R. Kawakami2.001111113N. Artemenko1.739450WJul 27 · 08:20R. Kawakami1.611111113G. Kim2.204770WJul 26 · 14:25R. Kawakami1.61751111113A. Abbasi2.2011119642LJul 22 · 05:20R. Kawakami1.7392111182A. Abbasi2.00111189113WJul 21 · 11:20R. Kawakami1.151111113A. Bilguun4.455750
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