TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13066037
Played Sep 3Finished
Manush Shah
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116113––––
Lev Volin
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:50 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeManush Shah to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingManush Shah above · Lev Volin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 50 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Manush Shah at 73.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Manush Shah 1–0 Lev Volin Lev Volin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:50What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Shah
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Shah 20% vs Volin 80%
Volin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shah 50% vs Volin 70%
Volin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shah -4 · Volin +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Shah) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShah 1.20 / Volin 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Shah)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13066037
Shah1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volin4.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShah1wins
AwayVolin0wins
Shah leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricShahVolinS − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.017.0+16.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShahVolinBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShahShah 1.20/Volin 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Shah · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 07:20M. Shah—1111113L. Volin—8630
M. Shah10
LSep 4 · 06:45M. Shah1.228660D. Ivonin4.001111113LAug 11 · 11:45M. Shah2.2511761182Y. Feng1.57311115113LAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113LJun 27 · 19:55H. Cifuentes2.631311113M. Shah1.4411760LJun 20 · 09:35H. Calderano1.141011711113M. Shah5.0012811762WJun 20 · 01:55M. Shah—13411113K. Jha—1111681WJun 19 · 15:00M. Shah2.7513411113K. Jha1.401111681WJun 18 · 04:00J. Chen1.251210111392M. Shah3.7510121311113LMay 23 · 15:35J. Oh1.4011135113M. Shah2.757111131WMay 23 · 09:35M. Shah2.501141111113T. Poret1.5081131342
L. Volin10
WSep 2 · 13:20V. Makarov2.259117111L. Volin1.5711311133WSep 2 · 13:10V. Makarov1.709117111L. Volin1.9511311133WSep 2 · 06:45L. Volin1.53711711113A. Alkhadrawi2.3811911832WSep 1 · 12:35A. Mamay—5450L. Volin—1111113LJul 3 · 09:55H. Desai1.1312119113L. Volin5.501091181LJul 3 · 08:35H. Desai1.1212119113L. Volin4.801091181WJul 2 · 14:50D. Vinogradov—821191L. Volin—11116113WJul 2 · 10:15M. Habach—3840L. Volin—1111113WJul 1 · 14:40S. Alsuwailem—9111141L. Volin—11139113LJul 1 · 08:10D. Ono—11711113L. Volin—811951
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