TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13060297
Played Sep 2Finished
Lev Volin
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–3Last 7Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119711118113
Ali Alkhadrawi
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 60.6% is still 60.6%
Graded at full timeLev Volin to win
60.6%
60.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLev Volin above · Ali Alkhadrawi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 89 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Lev Volin at 60.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Lev Volin 1–0 Ali Alkhadrawi Ali Alkhadrawi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:35What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Volin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Volin 60% vs Alkhadrawi 20%
Volin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volin 57% vs Alkhadrawi 50%
—
Too close
7pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volin +1 · Alkhadrawi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Volin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alkhadrawi form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolin 1.53 / Alkhadrawi 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Volin)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13060297
Volin1.53
57%won 4 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
57%takes the first set · 4 of 7
Alkhadrawi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVolin1wins
AwayAlkhadrawi0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVolin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVolinAlkhadrawiV − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.042.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolinAlkhadrawiBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 8 vs 5 / 1050%50%4 / 8 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolinVolin 1.53/Alkhadrawi 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Volin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 06:45L. Volin—711711113A. Alkhadrawi—11911832
L. Volin10
LSep 3 · 07:20M. Shah1.201111113L. Volin4.338630WSep 2 · 13:20V. Makarov2.259117111L. Volin1.5711311133WSep 2 · 13:10V. Makarov1.709117111L. Volin1.9511311133WSep 1 · 12:35A. Mamay—5450L. Volin—1111113LJul 3 · 09:55H. Desai1.1312119113L. Volin5.501091181LJul 3 · 08:35H. Desai1.1212119113L. Volin4.801091181WJul 2 · 14:50D. Vinogradov—821191L. Volin—11116113WJul 2 · 10:15M. Habach—3840L. Volin—1111113WJul 1 · 14:40S. Alsuwailem—9111141L. Volin—11139113LJul 1 · 08:10D. Ono—11711113L. Volin—811951
A. Alkhadrawi10
LJul 27 · 08:55K. Gerassimenko1.081111113A. Alkhadrawi7.005980WJul 26 · 06:45R. Rakhmonov6.259280A. Alkhadrawi1.071111113LJul 21 · 03:55A. Alkhadrawi—1111713102T. Preechayan—891115123LJul 3 · 15:50N. Artemenko1.171111113A. Alkhadrawi4.506750LJul 3 · 08:35N. Artemenko1.151111113A. Alkhadrawi4.256750WJul 2 · 15:25A. Alkhadrawi—1013911113D. Ono—121111872WJul 2 · 09:05A. Alkhadrawi—11119113R. Dutta—331141WJul 1 · 14:05A. Alkhadrawi—1111113L. Stephany—8270LMay 1 · 09:25B. Chan1.081111113A. Alkhadrawi7.008940WApr 30 · 16:20C. Lodewyk1.278690A. Alkhadrawi3.401111113
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