TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12301169
Played Jul 25Finished
Patrick Franziska
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111187111012––
Alexis Lebrun
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexis Lebrun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrick Franziska above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Alexis Lebrun at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Franziska 60% vs Lebrun 80%
Lebrun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franziska 80% vs Lebrun 60%
Franziska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Franziska +2 · Lebrun +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lebrun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranziska 1.91 / Lebrun 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lebrun)+2.5pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12301169
Franziska1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Lebrun1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranziskaLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 6 / 1080%60%8 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunFranziska 1.91/Lebrun 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Franziska10
LAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592WJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 20:35P. Franziska1.021111113D. Fujii11.006840LJul 2 · 01:00P. Franziska2.38371111122W. Jang1.53111189143WJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 20 · 10:10G. Kuo2.63111126113P. Franziska1.4457111142WJun 19 · 17:45L. Jancarik—1081131P. Franziska—12116113WJun 19 · 10:45L. Jancarik5.001081131P. Franziska1.1412116113WMay 16 · 10:53P. Franziska1.131111113M. Badowski5.508570WMay 7 · 13:15S. Togami1.67691171P. Franziska2.1011118113
A. Lebrun10
LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113WAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183LAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113LJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00J. An3.0012550A. Lebrun1.361411113WJul 26 · 16:00J. An2.9512550A. Lebrun1.331411113
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