TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12297814
Played Jul 25Finished
Patrick Franziska
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210117119––
Thibault Poret
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:31 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timePatrick Franziska to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrick Franziska above · Thibault Poret below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Patrick Franziska at 57.2%
79 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Franziska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Franziska 60% vs Poret 40%
Franziska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franziska 80% vs Poret 50%
Franziska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Franziska +1 · Poret +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Franziska) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franziska form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranziska 1.33 / Poret 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Franziska)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12297814
Franziska1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Poret3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranziskaPoretBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 5 / 1080%50%8 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.81.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranziskaFranziska 1.33/Poret 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Franziska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Franziska won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Franziska10
LAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592LJul 25 · 21:10P. Franziska1.915117101A. Lebrun1.8011811123WJul 24 · 20:35P. Franziska1.021111113D. Fujii11.006840LJul 2 · 01:00P. Franziska2.38371111122W. Jang1.53111189143WJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 20 · 10:10G. Kuo2.63111126113P. Franziska1.4457111142WJun 19 · 17:45L. Jancarik—1081131P. Franziska—12116113WJun 19 · 10:45L. Jancarik5.001081131P. Franziska1.1412116113WMay 16 · 10:53P. Franziska1.131111113M. Badowski5.508570WMay 7 · 13:15S. Togami1.67691171P. Franziska2.1011118113
T. Poret10
LAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592WJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113LJun 30 · 02:10B. Duda1.531111113T. Poret2.387630LJun 20 · 01:20S. Gauzy—1111113T. Poret—9980LJun 19 · 15:00S. Gauzy1.831111113T. Poret1.839980WJun 18 · 10:45A. Gacina2.231212681T. Poret1.55141011113WJun 18 · 04:00A. Gacina2.251212681T. Poret1.57141011113LMay 23 · 09:35M. Shah2.501141111113T. Poret1.5081131342
Upcoming Matches
P. Franziska
T. Poret
Nothing scheduled
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