TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12425194
Played Aug 14Finished
Felix Lebrun
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112114104––––
Thibault Poret
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:06 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeFelix Lebrun to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFelix Lebrun above · Thibault Poret below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-4
Point 42 set 3, 10-4 — our read held Felix Lebrun at 55.4%
42 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lebrun 80% vs Poret 60%
Lebrun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebrun 70% vs Poret 50%
Lebrun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebrun +2 · Poret +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poret form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.17 / Poret 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12425194
Lebrun1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Poret4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunPoretBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 5 / 1070%50%7 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.61.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.17/Poret 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101LJul 5 · 17:30S. Matsushima2.0012111012124F. Lebrun1.731071210101
T. Poret10
WAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592LJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113LJun 30 · 02:10B. Duda1.531111113T. Poret2.387630LJun 20 · 01:20S. Gauzy—1111113T. Poret—9980LJun 19 · 15:00S. Gauzy1.831111113T. Poret1.839980WJun 18 · 10:45A. Gacina2.231212681T. Poret1.55141011113WJun 18 · 04:00A. Gacina2.251212681T. Poret1.57141011113LMay 23 · 09:35M. Shah2.501141111113T. Poret1.5081131342
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