TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash
WTT United States SmashMatch #12164359
Played Jul 5Finished
Sora Matsushima
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
4 – 1
Set by set
1210117101212101210
Felix Lebrun
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingSora Matsushima above · Felix Lebrun below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-10
Point 103 set 5, 9-10
103 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lebrun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatsushima 2.00 / Lebrun 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.3pp
WTT United States Smash · #12164359
Matsushima2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Lebrun1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatsushimaLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunMatsushima 2.00/Lebrun 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–1
Matsushima won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Matsushima10
LAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 16:35Q. Zhou3.0011971192S. Matsushima1.36511116113WAug 13 · 18:20Y. Feng7.50111141162S. Matsushima1.07135112113WAug 12 · 16:35S. Gnanasekaran9.00611651S. Matsushima1.0411811113LAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114WAug 8 · 04:15S. Matsushima1.281011111104W. Jang3.50129118123WAug 6 · 05:00S. Matsushima1.131112113A. Lind5.5091070WAug 4 · 02:00S. Matsushima1.1714119113Q. Zhou4.501291191WJul 6 · 03:00S. Matsushima1.281111111154V. Sidorenko3.5051374112
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101
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