TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Yokohama
WTT Champions YokohamaMatch #12376960
Played Aug 8Finished
Hiroto Shinozuka
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
4 – 2
Set by set
8111210118911117117
Felix Lebrun
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFelix Lebrun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingHiroto Shinozuka above · Felix Lebrun below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Set 6 · 10-7
Point 115 set 6, 10-7 — our read held Felix Lebrun at 54.0%
115 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Hiroto Shinozuka 1–0 Felix Lebrun Felix Lebrun has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:15What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Lebrun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Shinozuka 60% vs Lebrun 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shinozuka 70% vs Lebrun 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shinozuka +2 · Lebrun +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShinozuka 4.00 / Lebrun 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Yokohama · #12376960
Shinozuka4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Lebrun1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShinozuka1wins
AwayLebrun0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderShinozuka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricShinozukaLebrunS − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.047.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShinozukaLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunShinozuka 4.00/Lebrun 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–2
Shinozuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka—812119113F. Lebrun—111081172
H. Shinozuka10
LAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111LAug 9 · 04:00J. Oh2.251111711114H. Shinozuka1.574411761WAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160WJul 24 · 16:55D. Kozul6.005680H. Shinozuka1.111111113LJul 5 · 03:15H. Shinozuka1.679911981V. Sidorenko2.101111811114WJul 3 · 21:20H. Calderano1.20119631H. Shinozuka4.3341111113WJul 2 · 01:35H. Shinozuka2.25117114113R. Wen1.5781181142WJun 30 · 01:35H. Shinozuka1.1711513113L. Pitchford4.506111191
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101LJul 5 · 17:30S. Matsushima2.0012111012124F. Lebrun1.731071210101
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