TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash
WTT United States SmashMatch #12139929
Played Jul 3Finished
Hugo Calderano
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114911611311––
Hiroto Shinozuka
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingHugo Calderano above · Hiroto Shinozuka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 66 set 4, 3-11
66 points played in total.
H2H Hugo Calderano 0–1 Hiroto Shinozuka Hugo Calderano has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Calderano)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shinozuka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCalderano 1.20 / Shinozuka 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Calderano)-0.0pp
WTT United States Smash · #12139929
Calderano1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Shinozuka4.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCalderano0wins
AwayShinozuka1wins
Shinozuka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCalderanoShinozukaC − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match29.037.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCalderanoShinozukaBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 8 / 1080%80%8 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoCalderano 1.20/Shinozuka 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shinozuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 3 · 21:20H. Calderano—119631H. Shinozuka—41111113
H. Calderano10
LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00H. Calderano1.2511151221113Y. Uda3.75517141982WJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45H. Calderano1.141111113J. Oh5.009640WJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161
H. Shinozuka10
LAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111LAug 9 · 04:00J. Oh2.251111711114H. Shinozuka1.574411761WAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160WJul 24 · 16:55D. Kozul6.005680H. Shinozuka1.111111113LJul 5 · 03:15H. Shinozuka1.679911981V. Sidorenko2.101111811114WJul 2 · 01:35H. Shinozuka2.25117114113R. Wen1.5781181142WJun 30 · 01:35H. Shinozuka1.1711513113L. Pitchford4.506111191
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