TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash
WTT United States SmashMatch #12125039
Played Jul 2Finished
Hiroto Shinozuka
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711118411114
Ruibo Wen
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingHiroto Shinozuka above · Ruibo Wen below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4
86 points played in total.
H2H Hiroto Shinozuka 1–0 Ruibo Wen Ruibo Wen has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Wen)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shinozuka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShinozuka 2.25 / Wen 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Wen)+0.0pp
WTT United States Smash · #12125039
Shinozuka2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Wen1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShinozuka1wins
AwayWen0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderShinozuka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricShinozukaWenS − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.042.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShinozukaWenBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WenShinozuka 2.25/Wen 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Wen · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shinozuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 2 · 01:35H. Shinozuka—117114113R. Wen—81181142
H. Shinozuka10
LAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111LAug 9 · 04:00J. Oh2.251111711114H. Shinozuka1.574411761WAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160WJul 24 · 16:55D. Kozul6.005680H. Shinozuka1.111111113LJul 5 · 03:15H. Shinozuka1.679911981V. Sidorenko2.101111811114WJul 3 · 21:20H. Calderano1.20119631H. Shinozuka4.3341111113WJun 30 · 01:35H. Shinozuka1.1711513113L. Pitchford4.506111191
R. Wen10
LAug 14 · 10:35E. Ranefur3.25115115113R. Wen1.2671161172LAug 13 · 17:10E. Ranefur3.50115115113R. Wen1.2871161172WAug 10 · 11:45L. Bardet4.50561141R. Wen1.1711112113LAug 4 · 02:00R. Wen1.11811881J. Geraldo6.0011711113WJun 30 · 02:10L. Jancarik6.5094110R. Wen1.101111133LJun 20 · 09:35P. Xiang2.7561111143R. Wen1.401189121WJun 19 · 18:55T. Jarvis—1310871R. Wen—111211113WJun 19 · 11:20T. Jarvis6.501310871R. Wen1.10111211113LJun 12 · 15:35R. Wen1.363131111102H. Shinozuka3.00111575123WJun 11 · 11:20R. Wen1.1411118113K. Hamada5.00881141
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