TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12390469
Played Aug 10Finished
Lilian Bardet
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611112411––
Ruibo Wen
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeRuibo Wen to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLilian Bardet above · Ruibo Wen below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 61 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ruibo Wen at 79.4%
61 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Wen
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Bardet 20% vs Wen 40%
Wen
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bardet 30% vs Wen 60%
Wen
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bardet -1 · Wen -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Wen)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wen form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBardet 4.50 / Wen 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Wen)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12390469
Bardet4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Wen1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBardetWenBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 6 / 1030%60%3 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.52.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WenBardet 4.50/Wen 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Wen · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wen won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Bardet10
LJul 1 · 21:20L. Bardet4.50107110T. Harimoto1.171211133WJun 29 · 19:00E. Ionescu1.7311761482L. Bardet2.007111112113LJun 18 · 16:10L. Bardet1.651411981O. Assar2.05121311113LJun 18 · 04:00L. Bardet1.671411981O. Assar2.10121311113LJun 4 · 16:40G. Park1.307111111133L. Bardet3.40111365112LMay 23 · 10:45L. Bardet3.00413120J. Oh1.361115143WMay 22 · 16:45L. Bardet1.441111113A. Istrate2.639560WMay 21 · 10:35L. Bardet1.321111113T. Mati3.004480LApr 20 · 17:00L. Bardet1.6492110A. Abbasi2.081111133LApr 17 · 09:10D. Kozul2.25491111113L. Bardet1.5711115432
R. Wen10
LAug 14 · 10:35E. Ranefur3.25115115113R. Wen1.2671161172LAug 13 · 17:10E. Ranefur3.50115115113R. Wen1.2871161172LAug 4 · 02:00R. Wen1.11811881J. Geraldo6.0011711113LJul 2 · 01:35H. Shinozuka2.25117114113R. Wen1.5781181142WJun 30 · 02:10L. Jancarik6.5094110R. Wen1.101111133LJun 20 · 09:35P. Xiang2.7561111143R. Wen1.401189121WJun 19 · 18:55T. Jarvis—1310871R. Wen—111211113WJun 19 · 11:20T. Jarvis6.501310871R. Wen1.10111211113LJun 12 · 15:35R. Wen1.363131111102H. Shinozuka3.00111575123WJun 11 · 11:20R. Wen1.1411118113K. Hamada5.00881141
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