TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Yokohama
WTT Champions YokohamaMatch #12381793
Played Aug 9Finished
Junsung Oh
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
4 – 1
Set by set
114114711117116
Hiroto Shinozuka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHiroto Shinozuka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJunsung Oh above · Hiroto Shinozuka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 83 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Hiroto Shinozuka at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Junsung Oh 1–0 Hiroto Shinozuka Hiroto Shinozuka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:36What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Shinozuka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Oh 80% vs Shinozuka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oh 50% vs Shinozuka 70%
Shinozuka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oh +3 · Shinozuka +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Shinozuka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shinozuka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOh 2.25 / Shinozuka 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Shinozuka)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Yokohama · #12381793
Oh2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Shinozuka1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOh1wins
AwayShinozuka0wins
Oh leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOhShinozukaO − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.033.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOhShinozukaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShinozukaOh 2.25/Shinozuka 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Shinozuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–1
Oh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 8 · 04:40J. Oh—11911123H. Shinozuka—7115101
J. Oh10
LAug 13 · 16:35D. Ovtcharov2.381111113J. Oh1.535760WAug 12 · 17:45M. Redzimski3.75791111112J. Oh1.25111167133LAug 9 · 10:15T. Harimoto1.267111111114J. Oh3.351174871WAug 8 · 02:45D. Qiu1.401111107113J. Oh2.7557121194WAug 7 · 02:25J. Oh1.571111123J. Lim2.2584100WAug 4 · 02:00J. Oh1.171211113O. Assar4.5010780LJul 25 · 21:45H. Calderano1.141111113J. Oh5.009640WJul 25 · 15:45J. Oh2.63157119113B. Duda1.44131151182WJul 24 · 20:00J. Oh1.361011118123L. Nodrest3.00129611102LJun 30 · 02:45T. Jarvis4.33111178113J. Oh1.2082111152
H. Shinozuka10
LAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111WAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160WJul 24 · 16:55D. Kozul6.005680H. Shinozuka1.111111113LJul 5 · 03:15H. Shinozuka1.679911981V. Sidorenko2.101111811114WJul 3 · 21:20H. Calderano1.20119631H. Shinozuka4.3341111113WJul 2 · 01:35H. Shinozuka2.25117114113R. Wen1.5781181142WJun 30 · 01:35H. Shinozuka1.1711513113L. Pitchford4.506111191
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