TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12294464
Played Jul 24Finished
Deni Kozul
Home
6.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611811––––
Hiroto Shinozuka
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDeni Kozul to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDeni Kozul above · Hiroto Shinozuka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Deni Kozul at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Shinozuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kozul 80% vs Shinozuka 60%
Kozul
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozul 60% vs Shinozuka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozul +2 · Shinozuka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Shinozuka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shinozuka form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozul 6.00 / Shinozuka 1.11
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Shinozuka)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12294464
Kozul6.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Shinozuka1.11
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozulShinozukaBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 7 / 1060%70%6 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShinozukaKozul 6.00/Shinozuka 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Shinozuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shinozuka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Kozul10
LAug 28 · 16:15D. Kozul2.63114561A. Bhattacharjee1.4491111113WAug 28 · 09:45D. Dorcescu4.00913751D. Kozul1.22111111113WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2261111123M. Andersen3.751169101WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20D. Kozul1.3611128113Y. Yu3.005101151WAug 26 · 17:25D. Kozul1.351111123R. Heras2.9058100LAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113WAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960WAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05D. Kozul1.30111011113A. Levenko3.40912891
H. Shinozuka10
LAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111LAug 9 · 04:00J. Oh2.251111711114H. Shinozuka1.574411761WAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160LJul 5 · 03:15H. Shinozuka1.679911981V. Sidorenko2.101111811114WJul 3 · 21:20H. Calderano1.20119631H. Shinozuka4.3341111113WJul 2 · 01:35H. Shinozuka2.25117114113R. Wen1.5781181142WJun 30 · 01:35H. Shinozuka1.1711513113L. Pitchford4.506111191
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