TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12396349
Played Aug 11Finished
Thibault Poret
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811211118115119
Patrick Franziska
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePatrick Franziska to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingThibault Poret above · Patrick Franziska below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 87 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Patrick Franziska at 62.0%
87 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:34What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Franziska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Poret 20% vs Franziska 60%
Franziska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poret 50% vs Franziska 70%
Franziska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poret -1 · Franziska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Franziska) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franziska form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoret 3.25 / Franziska 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Franziska)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12396349
Poret3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Franziska1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoretFranziskaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranziskaPoret 3.25/Franziska 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Franziska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poret won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Poret10
LAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113LJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113LJun 30 · 02:10B. Duda1.531111113T. Poret2.387630LJun 20 · 01:20S. Gauzy—1111113T. Poret—9980LJun 19 · 15:00S. Gauzy1.831111113T. Poret1.839980WJun 18 · 10:45A. Gacina2.231212681T. Poret1.55141011113WJun 18 · 04:00A. Gacina2.251212681T. Poret1.57141011113LMay 23 · 09:35M. Shah2.501141111113T. Poret1.5081131342
P. Franziska10
LJul 25 · 21:10P. Franziska1.915117101A. Lebrun1.8011811123WJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 20:35P. Franziska1.021111113D. Fujii11.006840LJul 2 · 01:00P. Franziska2.38371111122W. Jang1.53111189143WJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 20 · 10:10G. Kuo2.63111126113P. Franziska1.4457111142WJun 19 · 17:45L. Jancarik—1081131P. Franziska—12116113WJun 19 · 10:45L. Jancarik5.001081131P. Franziska1.1412116113WMay 16 · 10:53P. Franziska1.131111113M. Badowski5.508570WMay 7 · 13:15S. Togami1.67691171P. Franziska2.1011118113
Upcoming Matches
T. Poret
Nothing scheduled
P. Franziska
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.