TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Yokohama
WTT Champions YokohamaMatch #12366446
Played Aug 7Finished
Darko Jorgic
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119011311811––
Alexis Lebrun
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexis Lebrun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDarko Jorgic above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 0-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-10
Point 63 set 4, 8-10 — our read held Alexis Lebrun at 54.0%
63 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:26What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Jorgic 80% vs Lebrun 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jorgic 70% vs Lebrun 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jorgic +2 · Lebrun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jorgic form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJorgic 3.75 / Lebrun 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Yokohama · #12366446
Jorgic3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Lebrun1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJorgicLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.32.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunJorgic 3.75/Lebrun 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Jorgic10
LAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 10:45D. Jorgic1.221211111084O. Assar4.00109712112WAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 11:10C. Nuytinck4.3398110D. Jorgic1.201111133WAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113WAug 5 · 03:45M. Thakkar3.8511861162D. Jorgic1.23911117113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Thakkar4.0011861162D. Jorgic1.22911117113LJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 14:00D. Jorgic1.251111113T. Jarvis3.757650WJul 24 · 20:00D. Jorgic1.0811811113G. Teodoro7.00511781
A. Lebrun10
LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113WAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183LAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113LJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00J. An3.0012550A. Lebrun1.361411113WJul 26 · 16:00J. An2.9512550A. Lebrun1.331411113WJul 25 · 21:10P. Franziska1.915117101A. Lebrun1.8011811123
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