TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12434212
Played Aug 15Finished
Darko Jorgic
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
4 – 2
Set by set
12101191171012811114
Omar Assar
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeDarko Jorgic to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDarko Jorgic above · Omar Assar below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Set 6 · 11-4
Point 116 set 6, 11-4 — our read held Darko Jorgic at 54.5%
116 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Jorgic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Jorgic 80% vs Assar 60%
Jorgic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jorgic 70% vs Assar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jorgic +3 · Assar +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Jorgic) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Assar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJorgic 1.22 / Assar 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Jorgic)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12434212
Jorgic1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Assar4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJorgicAssarBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JorgicJorgic 1.22/Assar 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Jorgic · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–2
Jorgic won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Jorgic10
LAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 11:10C. Nuytinck4.3398110D. Jorgic1.201111133WAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113LAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 5 · 03:45M. Thakkar3.8511861162D. Jorgic1.23911117113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Thakkar4.0011861162D. Jorgic1.22911117113LJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 14:00D. Jorgic1.251111113T. Jarvis3.757650WJul 24 · 20:00D. Jorgic1.0811811113G. Teodoro7.00511781
O. Assar10
WAug 14 · 12:50O. Assar2.50131159113J. Groth1.50119111192WAug 13 · 10:35C. Andras2.1011850O. Assar1.671311113WAug 10 · 11:45O. Assar3.50111567113J. Chen1.28913111172LAug 4 · 02:00J. Oh1.171211113O. Assar4.5010780LJun 30 · 20:10O. Assar4.502840S. Matsushima1.171111113WJun 28 · 19:35O. Assar1.0715912113F. Luu7.5013111081LJun 19 · 16:10H. Calderano1.141111113O. Assar5.008650WJun 18 · 16:10L. Bardet1.651411981O. Assar2.05121311113WJun 18 · 04:00L. Bardet1.671411981O. Assar2.10121311113LJun 6 · 15:30O. Assar1.619111011122A. Rassenfosse2.20116126143
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