TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12390385
Played Aug 9Finished
Connor Green
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119811711––
Izaac Quek
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:05 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeIzaac Quek to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingConnor Green above · Izaac Quek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Izaac Quek at 70.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Connor Green 0–1 Izaac Quek Connor Green has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:05What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Quek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Green 60% vs Quek 80%
Quek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Green 50% vs Quek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Green +3 · Quek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Quek) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Green form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGreen 3.75 / Quek 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Quek)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12390385
Green3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Quek1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGreen0wins
AwayQuek1wins
Quek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGreenQuekG − QBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match31.042.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGreenQuekBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
QuekGreen 3.75/Quek 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Quek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Quek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 9 · 16:10C. Green—511871I. Quek—11911113
C. Green10
LAug 27 · 10:20L. Pistej1.8361111113C. Green1.83118691WAug 26 · 17:10D. Lillo2.29116771C. Green1.5391111113LAug 9 · 17:20C. Green3.35511871I. Quek1.2711911113WAug 9 · 15:35A. Gacina1.30111210121C. Green3.2591412143WAug 9 · 10:55A. Gacina1.33111210121C. Green3.2591412143WAug 8 · 09:55M. Elbeiali2.38115731C. Green1.5371111113LJul 3 · 08:35R. Yoshiyama1.1311117113C. Green4.65841171LJun 10 · 24:05C. Andras1.3211119143C. Green3.005411121LJun 9 · 15:55C. Andras1.4411119133C. Green2.635411121WJun 9 · 08:00C. Green—1111113L. Benko—7480
I. Quek10
LAug 27 · 18:35I. Quek1.8261070A. Bhattacharjee1.821112113LAug 27 · 17:25I. Quek1.8361070A. Bhattacharjee1.83111293WAug 27 · 10:20I. Quek1.33811119113J. Martinko3.2511331172WAug 26 · 16:50I. Quek1.20811911123M. Zalewski4.30116118102LAug 23 · 09:45I. Quek1.73117581R. Kawakami2.0091111113WAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 22 · 11:20S. Naresh6.00126110I. Quek1.111411133WAug 21 · 08:00J. Chua5.5061190I. Quek1.131113113LAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183WAug 9 · 17:20C. Green3.35511871I. Quek1.2711911113
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