Mohamed Elbeiali vs Connor Green 1-3 — WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals

TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals

WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379641

Played Aug 8Finished

Mohamed Elbeiali

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–1Last 3Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

117511711311––

Connor Green

Away

1.53

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%

Graded at full time

Connor Green to win

57.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMohamed Elbeiali above · Connor Green below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 3-11

Point 66 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Connor Green at 57.7%

66 points played in total.

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 20:59

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Green

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Form (L5)

Elbeiali 67% vs Green 20%

Elbeiali

Wrong

47pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Elbeiali 67% vs Green 30%

Elbeiali

Wrong

37pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Elbeiali -1 · Green -3

Green

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Green) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Green form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsElbeiali 2.38 / Green 1.53

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Green)+0.0pp

WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379641

Elbeiali2.38

67%won 2 of 3 · last 10

oldest → newest

0%takes the first set · 0 of 3

Green1.53

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricElbeialiGreenBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 3 vs 3 / 1066.7%30%1 / 3 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Green

Elbeiali 2.38/Green 1.53

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.8%

Green · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Green won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Event Chatroom

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