TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12382871
Played Aug 9Finished
Andrej Gacina
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119121410121214––
Connor Green
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrej Gacina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrej Gacina above · Connor Green below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 94 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Andrej Gacina at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Andrej Gacina 0–1 Connor Green Andrej Gacina has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Gacina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Gacina 40% vs Green 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gacina 50% vs Green 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gacina -1 · Green +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gacina) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gacina form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGacina 1.30 / Green 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Gacina)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12382871
Gacina1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Green3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGacina0wins
AwayGreen1wins
Green leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGacinaGreenGacina − GreenBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.049.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGacinaGreenBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 4 / 1050%40%5 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GacinaGacina 1.30/Green 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.4%
Gacina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Green won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 9 · 10:55A. Gacina—111210121C. Green—91412143
A. Gacina10
LAug 26 · 18:00B. Fruchart4.40111258113A. Gacina1.16710111192LAug 9 · 10:55A. Gacina1.33111210121C. Green3.2591412143WAug 8 · 10:30A. Gacina1.051111113E. Sjogren8.508860LJun 28 · 01:40A. Bertelsmeier1.831111143A. Gacina1.8397120WJun 27 · 03:25N. Kumar4.401195101A. Gacina1.1491111123LJun 18 · 10:45A. Gacina2.231212681T. Poret1.55141011113LJun 18 · 04:00A. Gacina2.251212681T. Poret1.57141011113WJun 17 · 18:30F. Xue1.36116381A. Gacina2.9591111113WJun 17 · 16:55F. Xue1.36116381A. Gacina3.0091111113WJun 16 · 17:20K. Ho2.5012211992A. Gacina1.501011911113
C. Green10
LAug 27 · 10:20L. Pistej1.8361111113C. Green1.83118691WAug 26 · 17:10D. Lillo2.29116771C. Green1.5391111113LAug 9 · 17:20C. Green3.35511871I. Quek1.2711911113LAug 9 · 16:10C. Green3.75511871I. Quek1.2511911113WAug 9 · 10:55A. Gacina1.33111210121C. Green3.2591412143WAug 8 · 09:55M. Elbeiali2.38115731C. Green1.5371111113LJul 3 · 08:35R. Yoshiyama1.1311117113C. Green4.65841171LJun 10 · 24:05C. Andras1.3211119143C. Green3.005411121LJun 9 · 15:55C. Andras1.4411119133C. Green2.635411121WJun 9 · 08:00C. Green—1111113L. Benko—7480
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