TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Istanbul II
WTT Feeder Istanbul IIMatch #12148148
Played Jul 3Finished
Maksim Grebnev
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611410––––
Rogelio Castro
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMaksim Grebnev above · Rogelio Castro below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-10
Point 45 set 3, 4-10
45 points played in total.
H2H Maksim Grebnev 0–1 Rogelio Castro Maksim Grebnev has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Grebnev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Castro form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrebnev 1.22 / Castro 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Grebnev)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Istanbul II · #12148148
Grebnev1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Castro4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGrebnev0wins
AwayCastro1wins
Castro leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricGrebnevCastroG − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match13.032.0−19.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrebnevCastroBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebnevGrebnev 1.22/Castro 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Grebnev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Castro won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev—3640R. Castro—1111103
M. Grebnev10
LSep 2 · 12:10I. Artukmetov4.33811115113M. Grebnev1.2011391192WSep 2 · 05:35V. Zakharov8.0011511532M. Grebnev1.06911611113LJul 27 · 08:55M. Grebnev2.38311831E. Tikhonov1.5311811113WJul 26 · 06:55M. Grebnev1.101111133S. Lee5.6094110LJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LMay 13 · 11:10M. Grebnev1.917811101K. Yiu1.7011117123WMay 12 · 16:55M. Grebnev1.401111113A. Yigenler2.755670WMay 11 · 14:45H. Woo1.73811981M. Grebnev2.0011511113WMay 11 · 07:35M. Grebnev—1111113S. Gulomov—5280WMay 10 · 14:45M. Grebnev1.051111113U. Dursun8.509530
R. Castro10
LAug 27 · 10:20M. Andersen2.34115116113R. Castro1.5461161172LAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113LAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 22 · 11:55R. Castro2.10111111143G. Kim1.671395121WAug 21 · 08:00R. Castro1.331111113O. Kveton3.258810LJul 23 · 07:00G. Teodoro1.5791111113R. Castro2.25115971LJul 4 · 10:20C. Meissner1.5311147113R. Castro2.387121191WJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LJun 26 · 20:45R. Castro3.401181191M. Allegro1.3013118113
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