TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13060354
Played Sep 2Finished
Vladislav Zakharov
Home
8.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511116511311
Maksim Grebnev
Away
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 88.3% is still 88.3%
Graded at full timeMaksim Grebnev to win
88.3%
88.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladislav Zakharov above · Maksim Grebnev below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 3-9
Point 81 set 5, 3-9 — our read held Maksim Grebnev at 88.3%
81 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Vladislav Zakharov 0–1 Maksim Grebnev Vladislav Zakharov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Grebnev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Zakharov 40% vs Grebnev 20%
Zakharov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zakharov 40% vs Grebnev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zakharov -1 · Grebnev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Grebnev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grebnev form (20%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZakharov 8.00 / Grebnev 1.06
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Grebnev)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13060354
Zakharov8.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Grebnev1.06
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZakharov0wins
AwayGrebnev1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGrebnev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZakharovGrebnevZ − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.048.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZakharovGrebnevBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 5 / 1030%50%3 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.31.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebnevZakharov 8.00/Grebnev 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Grebnev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grebnev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 05:35V. Zakharov—11511532M. Grebnev—911611113
V. Zakharov10
LJul 25 · 06:15V. Zakharov—71370N. Shutov—1115113WJul 24 · 13:00V. Zakharov—1111113D. Muhamadov—6390LFeb 4 · 15:15V. Zakharov2.5035100K. Kahraman1.501111123LJan 28 · 14:30D. Ivonin—11911113V. Zakharov—411891WJan 28 · 08:10V. Zakharov1.3281411113R. Dutta3.001112691WJan 27 · 14:35V. Zakharov—11119113I. Jmaiel—461141LNov 5 · 19:30R. Heras1.401111113V. Zakharov2.757540LNov 5 · 14:10E. Le1.30811712113V. Zakharov3.40118111032LSep 17 · 15:20V. Zakharov8.506101161S. Okano1.0511128113LSep 3 · 08:45V. Zakharov8.505960L. Yuan1.051111113
M. Grebnev10
LSep 2 · 12:10I. Artukmetov4.33811115113M. Grebnev1.2011391192LJul 27 · 08:55M. Grebnev2.38311831E. Tikhonov1.5311811113WJul 26 · 06:55M. Grebnev1.101111133S. Lee5.6094110LJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103LJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LMay 13 · 11:10M. Grebnev1.917811101K. Yiu1.7011117123WMay 12 · 16:55M. Grebnev1.401111113A. Yigenler2.755670WMay 11 · 14:45H. Woo1.73811981M. Grebnev2.0011511113WMay 11 · 07:35M. Grebnev—1111113S. Gulomov—5280WMay 10 · 14:45M. Grebnev1.051111113U. Dursun8.509530
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