TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13062997
Played Sep 2Finished
Irisbek Artukmetov
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811113119511119
Maksim Grebnev
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIrisbek Artukmetov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIrisbek Artukmetov above · Maksim Grebnev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Irisbek Artukmetov at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Irisbek Artukmetov 0–1 Maksim Grebnev Irisbek Artukmetov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:37What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Grebnev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Artukmetov 60% vs Grebnev 40%
Artukmetov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Artukmetov 30% vs Grebnev 60%
Grebnev
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Artukmetov +1 · Grebnev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Grebnev) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grebnev form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArtukmetov 4.33 / Grebnev 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Grebnev)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13062997
Artukmetov4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Grebnev1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeArtukmetov0wins
AwayGrebnev1wins
Grebnev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricArtukmetovGrebnevA − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match14.033.0−19.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArtukmetovGrebnevBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebnevArtukmetov 4.33/Grebnev 1.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Grebnev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Artukmetov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 13:05I. Artukmetov—5630M. Grebnev—1111113
I. Artukmetov10
LSep 3 · 07:55V. Picard1.221191110113I. Artukmetov4.0021181252WSep 2 · 06:45H. Suzuki1.0588111172I. Artukmetov8.50111151113LJul 25 · 07:30B. Kim—211128113I. Artukmetov—118101182WJul 24 · 07:50I. Artukmetov—1111113I. Saidkhujaev—3970LJul 20 · 04:45H. Lee—16811113I. Artukmetov—1411361WJul 19 · 04:00I. Artukmetov—1111113J. Pradhan—4790LMar 3 · 10:10I. Ban1.171111113I. Artukmetov4.506760LMar 2 · 10:10I. Artukmetov1.0681291662J. Misal6.7511101114113LFeb 4 · 08:45I. Artukmetov8.50511651E. Ranefur1.0511811113LSep 17 · 14:05M. Andersen1.5011119113I. Artukmetov2.50461141
M. Grebnev10
WSep 2 · 05:35V. Zakharov8.0011511532M. Grebnev1.06911611113LJul 27 · 08:55M. Grebnev2.38311831E. Tikhonov1.5311811113WJul 26 · 06:55M. Grebnev1.101111133S. Lee5.6094110LJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103LJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LMay 13 · 11:10M. Grebnev1.917811101K. Yiu1.7011117123WMay 12 · 16:55M. Grebnev1.401111113A. Yigenler2.755670WMay 11 · 14:45H. Woo1.73811981M. Grebnev2.0011511113WMay 11 · 07:35M. Grebnev—1111113S. Gulomov—5280WMay 10 · 14:45M. Grebnev1.051111113U. Dursun8.509530
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