TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12471607
Played Aug 22Finished
Rogelio Castro
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131191151412––
Gaon Kim
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRogelio Castro to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRogelio Castro above · Gaon Kim below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 86 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Rogelio Castro at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Castro 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Castro 50% vs Kim 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Castro +1 · Kim +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Castro form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCastro 2.10 / Kim 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kim)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12471607
Castro2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kim1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCastroKimBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimCastro 2.10/Kim 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Castro won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Castro10
LAug 27 · 10:20M. Andersen2.34115116113R. Castro1.5461161172LAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113LAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 21 · 08:00R. Castro1.331111113O. Kveton3.258810LJul 23 · 07:00G. Teodoro1.5791111113R. Castro2.25115971LJul 4 · 10:20C. Meissner1.5311147113R. Castro2.387121191WJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103WJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LJun 26 · 20:45R. Castro3.401181191M. Allegro1.3013118113
G. Kim10
LAug 27 · 17:25L. Pistej1.83117911113G. Kim1.8391111522WAug 27 · 10:55G. Kim1.571011611113B. Fruchart2.2512711582WAug 26 · 18:00G. Kim1.614111114113A. Keshavarzi2.20111361252WAug 21 · 10:20M. Andersen4.00111111862G. Kim1.22134911113LAug 7 · 06:20J. Choi2.00511112113G. Kim1.73116111062WAug 6 · 12:25J. Hagberg—117671G. Kim—81111113LJul 27 · 08:20R. Kawakami1.611111113G. Kim2.204770WJul 26 · 14:00G. Kim—1111113M. Toliev—3760LJul 21 · 03:00I. Quek1.5311911113G. Kim2.38211851LMay 22 · 10:45G. Kim2.751110571T. Poret1.4071211113
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