TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12383671
Played Aug 9Finished
Martin Allegro
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12149111181614811
Cedric Nuytinck
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeCedric Nuytinck to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Allegro above · Cedric Nuytinck below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 8-10
Point 113 set 5, 8-10 — our read held Cedric Nuytinck at 54.0%
113 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:31What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Nuytinck
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Allegro 60% vs Nuytinck 40%
Allegro
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Allegro 70% vs Nuytinck 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Allegro +1 · Nuytinck +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Nuytinck) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nuytinck form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAllegro 2.25 / Nuytinck 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Nuytinck)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12383671
Allegro2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Nuytinck1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAllegroNuytinckBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NuytinckAllegro 2.25/Nuytinck 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Nuytinck · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nuytinck won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Allegro10
LAug 9 · 09:45M. Allegro1.96129111682C. Nuytinck1.701411814113LJun 28 · 02:15V. Ursu1.571111113M. Allegro2.255880WJun 27 · 18:10M. Allegro5.00511913113G. Park1.14119111182WJun 26 · 20:45R. Castro3.401181191M. Allegro1.3013118113LJun 10 · 10:20G. Kuo1.3512114113M. Allegro2.701031171WJun 10 · 05:55F. Vallino5.80139891M. Allegro1.09111111113WJun 9 · 18:15F. Vallino4.50139891M. Allegro1.17111111113LJun 2 · 16:45D. Kozul1.821111113M. Allegro1.825540WJun 2 · 09:35M. Allegro1.2011116113A. Doyen4.33841141WJun 1 · 11:20M. Allegro1.3671111113C. Hung3.00116781
C. Nuytinck10
LAug 22 · 16:50C. Nuytinck2.006570M. Badowski1.731111113WAug 22 · 11:20C. Nuytinck1.3611611113T. Schweiger3.00511541WAug 21 · 08:00C. Nuytinck1.111511113J. Kaucky6.0013330LAug 13 · 11:10C. Nuytinck4.3398110D. Jorgic1.201111133WAug 10 · 12:20N. Lum3.5091290C. Nuytinck1.281114113WAug 9 · 15:00H. Desai1.83117691C. Nuytinck1.8361111113WAug 9 · 09:45M. Allegro1.96129111682C. Nuytinck1.701411814113WAug 8 · 08:45A. Ingestrom8.005860C. Nuytinck1.061111113LJun 26 · 19:55C. Nuytinck2.3876111142I. Chirita1.53111169113LJun 9 · 17:05C. Nuytinck1.8311841452M. Kubik1.838111112113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.