TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12465912
Played Aug 20Finished
Martin Buch
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–1Last 2Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114119––––
Nicolas Callaba
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–4Last 6Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:46 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMartin Buch to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Buch above · Nicolas Callaba below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Martin Buch at 79.4%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:46What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Buch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Buch 50% vs Callaba 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buch 50% vs Callaba 33%
Buch
Correct
17pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buch +1 · Callaba -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Buch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Callaba form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuch 1.17 / Callaba 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Buch)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12465912
Buch1.17
50%won 1 of 2 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 1 of 2
Callaba4.50
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 3 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuchCallabaBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 2 / 520%40%2 / 10 vs 2 / 5Avg sets wonper match1.32.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BuchBuch 1.17/Callaba 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Buch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buch won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Buch10
LAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 16:26E. Ly1.831111118122M. Buch1.83713811143WAug 26 · 10:55M. Buch1.731114113A. Valuch2.0091230WAug 20 · 10:20M. Buch1.221311113E. Hardmeier4.0011460LJun 2 · 10:10M. Oikawa1.041111113M. Buch9.006480LAug 12 · 11:30M. Bankosz—117111203M. Buch—71131001LAug 12 · 08:00S. Berglund—117811113M. Buch—91111732LAug 11 · 12:30A. Abbasi—911151103M. Buch—11613801LAug 11 · 10:00W. Kindblad—1011111103M. Buch—1278701
N. Callaba9
LAug 26 · 10:55B. Fruchart1.20101411113N. Callaba4.331212981WAug 24 · 14:00D. Pinto1.22711681N. Callaba4.0011711113WAug 24 · 09:10C. Pletea1.14111251082N. Callaba5.006101112113LAug 20 · 15:05M. Andersen1.271111113N. Callaba3.307490LAug 19 · 14:35Z. Chew1.25147914113N. Callaba3.751211111272WAug 19 · 09:10M. Froseth1.4411119522N. Callaba2.63961111113LJul 9 · 15:05N. Callaba—11411752J. Guillot—811711113LJul 8 · 20:05I. Vila—1071112113N. Callaba—121151092WJul 8 · 14:10N. Callaba—1113113M. Morinigo—61150
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