TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin QualsMatch #12456643
Played Aug 19Finished
Elias Hardmeier
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Alessi Massart
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeElias Hardmeier to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingElias Hardmeier above · Alessi Massart below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Elias Hardmeier at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:32What took a side0 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Massart
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Hardmeier 20% vs Massart 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hardmeier 30% vs Massart 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hardmeier -2 · Massart -4
Massart
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hardmeier)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Massart form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHardmeier 1.83 / Massart 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hardmeier)+4.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Quals · #12456643
Hardmeier1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Massart1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHardmeierMassartBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 4 / 1030%40%3 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.12.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HardmeierHardmeier 1.83/Massart 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hardmeier · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Massart won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Hardmeier10
LAug 20 · 10:20M. Andersen1.301311113E. Hardmeier3.2011460LAug 20 · 10:20M. Buch1.221311113E. Hardmeier4.0011460LMay 21 · 15:45E. Hardmeier3.00117991C. Franco1.3651111113LMay 20 · 15:10N. Lam1.531111113E. Hardmeier2.386690WMay 20 · 09:05S. Chowdhury—11117452E. Hardmeier—931111113LJan 24 · 19:30E. Hardmeier5.006860B. Haug1.141111113LJan 24 · 18:30E. Hardmeier2.10510100M. Froseth1.671112123WJan 24 · 13:15K. Oost1.83116581E. Hardmeier1.8391111113LJan 24 · 12:05G. Camara1.441111113E. Hardmeier2.638760LJan 22 · 16:10K. Konstantinopoulos1.8311511113E. Hardmeier1.83911951
A. Massart10
LAug 22 · 11:55A. Massart2.50101161192C. Pletea1.50126118113WAug 21 · 10:20A. Putuntica1.28118871A. Massart3.5071111113WAug 20 · 15:40A. Keshavarzi1.25118119122A. Massart3.75611811143LAug 19 · 14:00M. Andersen1.981111714113A. Massart1.7389111682LMar 13 · 10:45D. Szantosi1.50121192113A. Massart2.45109111162LMar 12 · 09:00A. Massart—5911101C. Franco—11118123LNov 6 · 13:00A. Puppo1.3391311113A. Massart3.251111951LNov 5 · 17:10M. Kolodziejczyk1.5712114113A. Massart2.251041181WNov 5 · 14:10T. Mati6.501A. Massart1.083LOct 21 · 09:00A. Massart3.5071161192L. Pistej1.28113119113
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