TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Skopje Quals
WTT Contender Skopje QualsMatch #11975669
Played Jun 3Finished
Mattias Karlsson
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–0Last 2Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116114––––
Rogelio Castro
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–0Last 2Won last 2
How it is goingMattias Karlsson above · Rogelio Castro below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4
52 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Karlsson)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Castro form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarlsson 1.22 / Castro 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Karlsson)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Skopje Quals · #11975669
Karlsson1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Castro4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarlssonCastroBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 7 / 1060%70%6 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarlssonKarlsson 1.22/Castro 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Karlsson · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Karlsson won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Karlsson10
LSep 4 · 05:35M. Karlsson1.73117111292K. Hamada2.00711414113WSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson—71111123S. Zhubanov—1136101WSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson1.0671111123S. Zhubanov8.001136101LAug 10 · 16:35J. Groth1.83117711123M. Karlsson1.83811118102LJul 24 · 15:10M. Karlsson1.838111181T. Pucar1.8311136113WJul 23 · 07:00M. Karlsson1.221611163M. Mutti4.00149140LJun 27 · 02:50A. Bertelsmeier1.82812119113M. Karlsson1.82111081172WJun 26 · 19:20M. Karlsson1.171211711113L. Pistej4.5014811472LJun 4 · 10:45M. Karlsson3.751151091H. Shinozuka1.2561112113WJun 3 · 15:10M. Oikawa1.5391180M. Karlsson2.381113113
R. Castro10
LAug 27 · 10:20M. Andersen2.34115116113R. Castro1.5461161172LAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113LAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 22 · 11:55R. Castro2.10111111143G. Kim1.671395121WAug 21 · 08:00R. Castro1.331111113O. Kveton3.258810LJul 23 · 07:00G. Teodoro1.5791111113R. Castro2.25115971LJul 4 · 10:20C. Meissner1.5311147113R. Castro2.387121191WJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103WJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113
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