TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13066028
Played Sep 3Finished
Mattias Karlsson
Home
1.06
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111131161210––
Sanzhar Zhubanov
Away
8.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:51 and never touched — 88.3% is still 88.3%
Graded at full timeMattias Karlsson to win
88.3%
88.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMattias Karlsson above · Sanzhar Zhubanov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 71 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Mattias Karlsson at 88.3%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:51What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Karlsson
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Karlsson 40% vs Zhubanov 60%
Zhubanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karlsson 60% vs Zhubanov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Karlsson -2 · Zhubanov +3
Zhubanov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Karlsson)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhubanov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarlsson 1.06 / Zhubanov 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Karlsson)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13066028
Karlsson1.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Zhubanov8.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarlssonZhubanovBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarlssonKarlsson 1.06/Zhubanov 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Karlsson · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Karlsson won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Karlsson10
LSep 4 · 05:35M. Karlsson1.73117111292K. Hamada2.00711414113WSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson—71111123S. Zhubanov—1136101LAug 10 · 16:35J. Groth1.83117711123M. Karlsson1.83811118102LJul 24 · 15:10M. Karlsson1.838111181T. Pucar1.8311136113WJul 23 · 07:00M. Karlsson1.221611163M. Mutti4.00149140LJun 27 · 02:50A. Bertelsmeier1.82812119113M. Karlsson1.82111081172WJun 26 · 19:20M. Karlsson1.171211711113L. Pistej4.5014811472LJun 4 · 10:45M. Karlsson3.751151091H. Shinozuka1.2561112113WJun 3 · 15:10M. Oikawa1.5391180M. Karlsson2.381113113WJun 3 · 10:20M. Karlsson1.221111113R. Castro4.009640
S. Zhubanov10
LSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson—71111123S. Zhubanov—1136101WSep 2 · 13:20R. Betelu1.13111171062S. Zhubanov5.50761112113WSep 2 · 13:15R. Betelu1.13111171062S. Zhubanov4.80761112113WSep 2 · 05:35S. Zhubanov1.731111123R. Chambet-Weil2.0078100LAug 20 · 08:35S. Zhubanov4.50361191A. Keshavarzi1.1711119113LAug 19 · 15:45S. Zhubanov1.5081141182A. Rasanen2.50116118113LJul 25 · 13:20D. Ivonin—151112113S. Zhubanov—1741071WJul 25 · 07:20S. Zhubanov—1111113A. Gupta—8930WJul 24 · 14:05S. Zhubanov—1111113I. Sultonov—5580LJun 9 · 14:45S. Zhubanov8.506360A. Bertelsmeier1.051111113
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