TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13060600
Played Sep 2Finished
Sanzhar Zhubanov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171181210––––
Remi Chambet-Weil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeSanzhar Zhubanov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSanzhar Zhubanov above · Remi Chambet-Weil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-10
Point 58 set 3, 11-10 — our read held Sanzhar Zhubanov at 57.7%
58 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Sanzhar Zhubanov 1–0 Remi Chambet-Weil Remi Chambet-Weil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zhubanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Zhubanov 40% vs Chambet-Weil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhubanov 30% vs Chambet-Weil 50%
Chambet-Weil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhubanov -3 · Chambet-Weil -1
Zhubanov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zhubanov) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhubanov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhubanov 1.73 / Chambet-Weil 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zhubanov)+0.3pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13060600
Zhubanov1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chambet-Weil2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZhubanov1wins
AwayChambet-Weil0wins
Zhubanov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZhubanovChambet-WeilZ − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.025.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhubanovChambet-WeilBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 5 / 1030%50%3 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhubanovZhubanov 1.73/Chambet-Weil 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zhubanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhubanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 05:35S. Zhubanov—1111113R. Chambet-Weil—78100
S. Zhubanov10
LSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson—71111123S. Zhubanov—1136101LSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson1.0671111123S. Zhubanov8.001136101WSep 2 · 13:20R. Betelu1.13111171062S. Zhubanov5.50761112113WSep 2 · 13:15R. Betelu1.13111171062S. Zhubanov4.80761112113LAug 20 · 08:35S. Zhubanov4.50361191A. Keshavarzi1.1711119113LAug 19 · 15:45S. Zhubanov1.5081141182A. Rasanen2.50116118113LJul 25 · 13:20D. Ivonin—151112113S. Zhubanov—1741071WJul 25 · 07:20S. Zhubanov—1111113A. Gupta—8930WJul 24 · 14:05S. Zhubanov—1111113I. Sultonov—5580LJun 9 · 14:45S. Zhubanov8.506360A. Bertelsmeier1.051111113
R. Chambet-Weil10
LJul 22 · 21:10R. Chambet-Weil4.50841191K. Yiu1.1711119113WJul 21 · 20:00R. Chambet-Weil—11911113A. Guedes—911521LJul 10 · 15:20G. Teodoro1.1011511113R. Chambet-Weil6.50711981LMay 20 · 18:35S. Shetty—111189113R. Chambet-Weil—99111152WMay 20 · 09:10R. Chambet-Weil—1111113J. Oladiran—8780WMay 19 · 15:45R. Chambet-Weil—1111113A. Ahmed—7640LMar 25 · 10:10P. Jain1.10138911113R. Chambet-Weil6.50111111872LMar 24 · 09:35R. Chambet-Weil4.5053120M. Friis1.171111143WJan 28 · 15:20E. Haddad—5640R. Chambet-Weil—1111113WJan 28 · 07:35R. Chambet-Weil1.081111143Z. Yaman6.0078120
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