TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12294457
Played Jul 24Finished
Hugo Calderano
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118115––––
Andre Bertelsmeier
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndre Bertelsmeier to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingHugo Calderano above · Andre Bertelsmeier below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Andre Bertelsmeier at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:50What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Calderano
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Calderano 60% vs Bertelsmeier 80%
Bertelsmeier
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Calderano 70% vs Bertelsmeier 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Calderano -1 · Bertelsmeier +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Calderano) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertelsmeier form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCalderano 1.17 / Bertelsmeier 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Calderano)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12294457
Calderano1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Bertelsmeier4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCalderanoBertelsmeierBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoCalderano 1.17/Bertelsmeier 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Calderano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Calderano10
LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00H. Calderano1.2511151221113Y. Uda3.75517141982WJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45H. Calderano1.141111113J. Oh5.009640WJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161
A. Bertelsmeier10
WJul 23 · 15:30A. Bertelsmeier—11511113A. Fuentes—311661LJul 1 · 20:45A. Bertelsmeier4.501211116102T. Moregard1.171013511123WJun 29 · 20:10J. An1.33118891A. Bertelsmeier3.2571111113WJun 28 · 01:40A. Bertelsmeier1.831111143A. Gacina1.8397120WJun 27 · 02:50A. Bertelsmeier1.82812119113M. Karlsson1.82111081172LJun 10 · 10:55Y. Chang1.70119126113A. Bertelsmeier1.91511101162WJun 9 · 14:45S. Zhubanov8.506360A. Bertelsmeier1.051111113LMay 18 · 12:55Y. Kizukuri1.4031211113A. Bertelsmeier2.751110551LMay 18 · 11:40Y. Kizukuri1.4831211113A. Bertelsmeier2.401110551WMay 17 · 11:20R. Heras4.3310930A. Bertelsmeier1.201211113
Upcoming Matches
H. Calderano
A. Bertelsmeier
Nothing scheduled
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