TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Taiyuan
WTT Contender TaiyuanMatch #11720900
Played Apr 10Finished
Luka Mladenovic
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117111911811––
Kristian Karlsson
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLuka Mladenovic above · Kristian Karlsson below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 1-4
Point 55 set 4, 1-4
55 points drawn · the score is 14 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Luka Mladenovic 0–1 Kristian Karlsson Luka Mladenovic has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Karlsson)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karlsson form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMladenovic 3.75 / Karlsson 1.25
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Karlsson)-19.0pp (anti-value)
WTT Contender Taiyuan · #11720900
Mladenovic3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Karlsson1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMladenovic0wins
AwayKarlsson1wins
Karlsson leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMladenovicKarlssonM − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.039.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMladenovicKarlssonBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 52 vs 36 / 6353.9%57.1%28 / 52 vs 36 / 63Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarlssonMladenovic 3.75/Karlsson 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Karlsson · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Karlsson won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—L. Mladenovic—3K. Karlsson—1
L. Mladenovic10
LJun 26 · 18:45L. Mladenovic1.53186861J. Oyebode2.38161111113LJun 16 · 10:20R. Walther1.36131211113L. Mladenovic3.001510861WJun 2 · 16:45L. Mladenovic1.081111113A. Naranjo5.905930LJun 2 · 09:00L. Mladenovic1.229990D. Lillo4.001111113WJun 1 · 10:45L. Mladenovic1.0561111113T. Sanchi8.50116671LMay 23 · 17:25L. Mladenovic2.7511460Y. Feng1.401311113WMay 23 · 11:55L. Mladenovic2.25111111113E. Dorr1.57513641WMay 22 · 10:20L. Mladenovic—811119113N. Artemenko—11871162WMay 22 · 08:00L. Mladenovic2.25811119113N. Artemenko1.5711871162LApr 30 · 18:15D. Levajac1.751141120113L. Mladenovic1.9051182282
K. Karlsson10
LSep 4 · 11:00A. Kouraichi4.50111411123K. Karlsson1.17117118102WSep 3 · 13:20L. Katsman4.337116101K. Karlsson1.2011411123LAug 13 · 17:45S. Togami1.251111113K. Karlsson3.759660WAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111WMay 5 · 17:08K. Karlsson1.131111133D. Szantosi5.5077110LApr 11 · 03:35K. Karlsson2.1011414852T. Pucar1.677111211113WApr 9 · 06:00K. Karlsson1.131111113H. Bae5.507530LApr 1 · 12:00H. Calderano1.201111114113K. Karlsson4.3313511192WMar 30 · 09:35K. Karlsson1.3611711113L. Jancarik3.00411481LMar 11 · 07:05Y. Lin1.0781111113K. Karlsson7.50116471
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