TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13110867
Played Sep 11Finished
Andre Bertelsmeier
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117511117118––
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeRyoichi Yoshiyama to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndre Bertelsmeier above · Ryoichi Yoshiyama below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-8
Point 70 set 4, 10-8 — our read held Ryoichi Yoshiyama at 55.3%
70 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Yoshiyama
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Bertelsmeier 60% vs Yoshiyama 80%
Yoshiyama
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertelsmeier 60% vs Yoshiyama 80%
Yoshiyama
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertelsmeier +1 · Yoshiyama +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Yoshiyama) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yoshiyama form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertelsmeier 2.38 / Yoshiyama 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Yoshiyama)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13110867
Bertelsmeier2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Yoshiyama1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBertelsmeierYoshiyamaBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 8 / 1060%80%6 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.32.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YoshiyamaBertelsmeier 2.38/Yoshiyama 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Yoshiyama · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bertelsmeier won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Bertelsmeier10
LSep 17 · 13:10R. Kawakami1.83115611113A. Bertelsmeier1.8391111692LSep 12 · 08:25C. Nuytinck2.751181111113A. Bertelsmeier1.4041171362WSep 10 · 03:00A. Bertelsmeier1.50116811113L. Nodrest2.5081111442LJul 24 · 21:10H. Calderano1.171111113A. Bertelsmeier4.507850WJul 23 · 15:30A. Bertelsmeier—11511113A. Fuentes—311661LJul 1 · 20:45A. Bertelsmeier4.501211116102T. Moregard1.171013511123WJun 29 · 20:10J. An1.33118891A. Bertelsmeier3.2571111113WJun 28 · 01:40A. Bertelsmeier1.831111143A. Gacina1.8397120WJun 27 · 02:50A. Bertelsmeier1.82812119113M. Karlsson1.82111081172LJun 10 · 10:55Y. Chang1.70119126113A. Bertelsmeier1.91511101162
R. Yoshiyama10
WSep 17 · 02:00Y. Sakai2.7566111162R. Yoshiyama1.40111149113WSep 10 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521WSep 10 · 03:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521LSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:15J. Choi2.7211810131R. Yoshiyama1.3891112153WAug 7 · 06:20K. Li4.506650R. Yoshiyama1.171111113WAug 6 · 12:00Y. Malik—11570R. Yoshiyama—1311113
Upcoming Matches
A. Bertelsmeier
Nothing scheduled
R. Yoshiyama
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