TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13104148
Played Sep 10Finished
Andre Bertelsmeier
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611811114114
Leo De Nodrest
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeAndre Bertelsmeier to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndre Bertelsmeier above · Leo De Nodrest below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 85 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Andre Bertelsmeier at 55.8%
85 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bertelsmeier
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Bertelsmeier 60% vs Nodrest 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertelsmeier 50% vs Nodrest 70%
Nodrest
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertelsmeier -1 · Nodrest -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bertelsmeier) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nodrest form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertelsmeier 1.50 / Nodrest 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Bertelsmeier)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13104148
Bertelsmeier1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Nodrest2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBertelsmeierNodrestBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertelsmeierBertelsmeier 1.50/Nodrest 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Bertelsmeier · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bertelsmeier won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Bertelsmeier10
LSep 17 · 13:10R. Kawakami1.83115611113A. Bertelsmeier1.8391111692LSep 12 · 08:25C. Nuytinck2.751181111113A. Bertelsmeier1.4041171362WSep 11 · 14:25A. Bertelsmeier2.3811511113R. Yoshiyama1.53711781LJul 24 · 21:10H. Calderano1.171111113A. Bertelsmeier4.507850WJul 23 · 15:30A. Bertelsmeier—11511113A. Fuentes—311661LJul 1 · 20:45A. Bertelsmeier4.501211116102T. Moregard1.171013511123WJun 29 · 20:10J. An1.33118891A. Bertelsmeier3.2571111113WJun 28 · 01:40A. Bertelsmeier1.831111143A. Gacina1.8397120WJun 27 · 02:50A. Bertelsmeier1.82812119113M. Karlsson1.82111081172LJun 10 · 10:55Y. Chang1.70119126113A. Bertelsmeier1.91511101162
L. Nodrest10
LSep 17 · 02:00L. Nodrest2.75781141E. Tikhonov1.4011119113LJul 24 · 20:00J. Oh1.361011118123L. Nodrest3.00129611102WJul 23 · 22:55F. Olivares5.505990L. Nodrest1.131111113LJul 12 · 21:15L. Nodrest1.4411891182A. Kouraichi2.63911117113WJul 12 · 14:10L. Nodrest1.43159411113G. Teodoro2.60131111592WJul 11 · 21:50L. Nodrest1.261111113T. Monteiro3.357860WJul 11 · 16:20L. Nodrest1.40111211113T. Hippler2.75414661WJul 10 · 21:50L. Nodrest1.281111113F. Igarashi3.505660LJun 18 · 04:00L. Nodrest2.5068150V. Sidorenko1.501111173WJun 17 · 23:45F. Zeljko—411125102L. Nodrest—1181011123
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