TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13114797
Played Sep 12Finished
Anton Kallberg
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
4 – 3
Set by set
1163115118111151210115
Alexis Lebrun
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexis Lebrun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Kallberg above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Set 6 · 12-10
Set 7 · 9-5
Point 118 set 7, 9-5 — our read held Alexis Lebrun at 54.0%
118 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Lebrun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kallberg 80% vs Lebrun 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kallberg 40% vs Lebrun 70%
Lebrun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kallberg +3 · Lebrun +2
Kallberg
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kallberg form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKallberg 3.40 / Lebrun 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13114797
Kallberg3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Lebrun1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKallbergLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 7 / 1040%70%4 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunKallberg 3.40/Lebrun 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–3
Kallberg won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Kallberg10
LSep 13 · 05:15H. Calderano1.40111111114A. Kallberg2.7557870WSep 10 · 11:40F. Coton2.285470A. Kallberg1.531111113WSep 10 · 10:30F. Coton2.385470A. Kallberg1.531111113WSep 8 · 07:05A. Kallberg1.171211113M. Shah4.5010560LAug 13 · 18:20A. Kallberg2.38121191192Q. Zhou1.53145118103WAug 11 · 16:35V. Sidorenko1.675970A. Kallberg2.101111113LAug 6 · 02:00A. Kallberg2.60118981W. Jang1.4481111113LAug 4 · 02:00A. Kallberg2.63118981W. Jang1.4481111113LJun 29 · 19:00A. Lebrun1.531111133A. Kallberg2.3849110LJun 18 · 16:45A. Kallberg1.129870T. Jarvis5.001111113
A. Lebrun10
WSep 11 · 11:05B. Duda2.6361191192A. Lebrun1.44119118113WSep 9 · 07:05M. Thakkar5.001241131A. Lebrun1.1414119113LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113WAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183LAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113WJun 29 · 19:00A. Lebrun1.531111133A. Kallberg2.3849110
Upcoming Matches
A. Kallberg
Nothing scheduled
A. Lebrun
Event Chatroom
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