TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13120863
Played Sep 13Finished
Hugo Calderano
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
4 – 0
Set by set
115117118117––
Anton Kallberg
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHugo Calderano above · Anton Kallberg below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 54.0%
70 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Calderano
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Calderano 80% vs Kallberg 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Calderano 90% vs Kallberg 50%
Calderano
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Calderano +3 · Kallberg +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Calderano) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kallberg form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCalderano 1.40 / Kallberg 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Calderano)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13120863
Calderano1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Kallberg2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCalderanoKallbergBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 5 / 1090%50%9 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.02.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoCalderano 1.40/Kallberg 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–0
Calderano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Calderano10
LSep 13 · 11:30H. Calderano1.837911891T. Moregard1.831111311114WSep 12 · 12:45S. Matsushima1.50912512112H. Calderano2.501110111434WSep 10 · 12:50T. Pucar6.00117631H. Calderano1.1161111113WSep 8 · 12:50N. Lum10.004960H. Calderano1.031111113LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113
A. Kallberg10
WSep 12 · 10:30A. Kallberg3.4011358114A. Lebrun1.30611111153WSep 10 · 11:40F. Coton2.285470A. Kallberg1.531111113WSep 10 · 10:30F. Coton2.385470A. Kallberg1.531111113WSep 8 · 07:05A. Kallberg1.171211113M. Shah4.5010560LAug 13 · 18:20A. Kallberg2.38121191192Q. Zhou1.53145118103WAug 11 · 16:35V. Sidorenko1.675970A. Kallberg2.101111113LAug 6 · 02:00A. Kallberg2.60118981W. Jang1.4481111113LAug 4 · 02:00A. Kallberg2.63118981W. Jang1.4481111113LJun 29 · 19:00A. Lebrun1.531111133A. Kallberg2.3849110LJun 18 · 16:45A. Kallberg1.129870T. Jarvis5.001111113
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