TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13113917
Played Sep 12Finished
Sora Matsushima
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 4
Set by set
91112105111214113911
Hugo Calderano
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSora Matsushima above · Hugo Calderano below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-3
Set 6 · 7-10
Point 115 set 6, 7-10 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 54.0%
115 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Sora Matsushima 0–1 Hugo Calderano Sora Matsushima has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Matsushima
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Matsushima 80% vs Calderano 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matsushima 80% vs Calderano 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Matsushima +2 · Calderano +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Matsushima) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Calderano form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatsushima 1.50 / Calderano 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Matsushima)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13113917
Matsushima1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Calderano2.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMatsushima0wins
AwayCalderano1wins
Calderano leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
This 1 meeting
MetricMatsushimaCalderanoM − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match58.060.0−2.0per match
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatsushimaCalderanoBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 9 / 1080%90%8 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.02.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatsushimaMatsushima 1.50/Calderano 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Matsushima · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–4
Calderano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 12 · 12:45S. Matsushima58912512112H. Calderano601110111434
S. Matsushima10
WSep 11 · 05:55S. Matsushima1.1111711143C. Wong6.008116121WSep 9 · 11:05S. Matsushima1.061112113T. Jarvis8.0041070LAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 16:35Q. Zhou3.0011971192S. Matsushima1.36511116113WAug 13 · 18:20Y. Feng7.50111141162S. Matsushima1.07135112113WAug 12 · 16:35S. Gnanasekaran9.00611651S. Matsushima1.0411811113LAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114WAug 8 · 04:15S. Matsushima1.281011111104W. Jang3.50129118123WAug 6 · 05:00S. Matsushima1.131112113A. Lind5.5091070
H. Calderano10
LSep 13 · 11:30H. Calderano1.837911891T. Moregard1.831111311114WSep 13 · 05:15H. Calderano1.40111111114A. Kallberg2.7557870WSep 10 · 12:50T. Pucar6.00117631H. Calderano1.1161111113WSep 8 · 12:50N. Lum10.004960H. Calderano1.031111113LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113
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