TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13091222
Played Sep 9Finished
Sora Matsushima
Home
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210117––––
Tom Jarvis
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeSora Matsushima to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSora Matsushima above · Tom Jarvis below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Sora Matsushima at 60.7%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Matsushima
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Matsushima 80% vs Jarvis 40%
Matsushima
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matsushima 80% vs Jarvis 50%
Matsushima
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matsushima -1 · Jarvis -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Matsushima) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jarvis form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatsushima 1.06 / Jarvis 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Matsushima)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13091222
Matsushima1.06
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Jarvis8.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatsushimaJarvisBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 5 / 1080%50%8 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.12.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatsushimaMatsushima 1.06/Jarvis 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Matsushima · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Matsushima won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Matsushima10
LSep 12 · 12:45S. Matsushima1.50912512112H. Calderano2.501110111434WSep 11 · 05:55S. Matsushima1.1111711143C. Wong6.008116121LAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 16:35Q. Zhou3.0011971192S. Matsushima1.36511116113WAug 13 · 18:20Y. Feng7.50111141162S. Matsushima1.07135112113WAug 12 · 16:35S. Gnanasekaran9.00611651S. Matsushima1.0411811113LAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114WAug 8 · 04:15S. Matsushima1.281011111104W. Jang3.50129118123WAug 6 · 05:00S. Matsushima1.131112113A. Lind5.5091070
T. Jarvis10
LAug 9 · 08:00T. Jarvis1.2211114862H. Desai4.00671111113WAug 8 · 07:00T. Jarvis1.611111113D. Movileanu2.202390LJul 25 · 14:00D. Jorgic1.251111113T. Jarvis3.757650WJul 24 · 15:45I. Diaw2.636911101T. Jarvis1.4411113123LJul 2 · 03:20K. Jha1.2811116113T. Jarvis3.50231141WJun 30 · 02:45T. Jarvis4.33111178113J. Oh1.2082111152LJun 19 · 18:55T. Jarvis—1310871R. Wen—111211113LJun 19 · 11:20T. Jarvis6.501310871R. Wen1.10111211113WJun 18 · 16:45A. Kallberg1.129870T. Jarvis5.001111113WJun 18 · 04:00A. Kallberg1.149870T. Jarvis5.001111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Matsushima
Nothing scheduled
T. Jarvis
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