TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379585
Played Aug 8Finished
Tom Jarvis
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112113119––––
Darius Movileanu
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:01 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTom Jarvis to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTom Jarvis above · Darius Movileanu below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-4
Point 35 set 3, 4-4 — our read held Tom Jarvis at 57.7%
35 points drawn · the score is 12 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Tom Jarvis 1–0 Darius Movileanu Darius Movileanu has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:01What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jarvis
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Jarvis 40% vs Movileanu 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jarvis 50% vs Movileanu 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jarvis -1 · Movileanu -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jarvis)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jarvis form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJarvis 1.61 / Movileanu 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jarvis)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379585
Jarvis1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Movileanu2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJarvis1wins
AwayMovileanu0wins
Jarvis leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJarvisMovileanuJ − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.014.0+19.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarvisMovileanuBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 4 / 1050%40%5 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarvisJarvis 1.61/Movileanu 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Jarvis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jarvis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 8 · 07:00T. Jarvis—1111113D. Movileanu—2390
T. Jarvis10
LAug 9 · 08:00T. Jarvis1.2211114862H. Desai4.00671111113LJul 25 · 14:00D. Jorgic1.251111113T. Jarvis3.757650WJul 24 · 15:45I. Diaw2.636911101T. Jarvis1.4411113123LJul 2 · 03:20K. Jha1.2811116113T. Jarvis3.50231141WJun 30 · 02:45T. Jarvis4.33111178113J. Oh1.2082111152LJun 19 · 18:55T. Jarvis—1310871R. Wen—111211113LJun 19 · 11:20T. Jarvis6.501310871R. Wen1.10111211113WJun 18 · 16:45A. Kallberg1.129870T. Jarvis5.001111113WJun 18 · 04:00A. Kallberg1.149870T. Jarvis5.001111113WJun 2 · 15:35T. Jarvis—1011811113C. Green—12411692
D. Movileanu10
LJun 2 · 16:10C. Nuytinck1.361213143D. Movileanu3.001011120WJun 2 · 09:00D. Movileanu1.221111113A. Baggaley4.009870WJun 1 · 15:50D. Movileanu3.50121011113S. Aida1.281012571LMay 17 · 17:50G. Gomez3.7511911113D. Movileanu1.25911681LMay 12 · 08:00R. Yoshiyama1.221112113D. Movileanu4.0091030WApr 30 · 22:00F. Duffoo6.75711111122D. Movileanu1.06116813113WApr 30 · 20:05F. Duffoo8.00711111122D. Movileanu1.06116813113LApr 30 · 19:00C. Fernandez—1011114113D. Movileanu—12881142LMar 9 · 17:50D. Movileanu1.55115713102R. Heras2.309111111123LFeb 13 · 10:00J. Oh1.171111113D. Movileanu4.506750
Upcoming Matches
T. Jarvis
D. Movileanu
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