TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13103005
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomislav Pucar
Home
6.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711611311––
Hugo Calderano
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomislav Pucar above · Hugo Calderano below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 66 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Calderano
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Pucar 80% vs Calderano 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pucar 50% vs Calderano 90%
Calderano
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pucar +1 · Calderano +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Calderano) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Calderano form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPucar 6.00 / Calderano 1.11
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Calderano)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13103005
Pucar6.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Calderano1.11
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPucarCalderanoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 9 / 1050%90%5 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoPucar 6.00/Calderano 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Calderano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Pucar10
WSep 9 · 05:55T. Pucar1.5011115113A. Rassenfosse2.50541181LAug 14 · 11:20T. Pucar1.8371171182E. Ranefur1.83115119113WAug 13 · 18:55W. Jang1.228860T. Pucar4.001111113WAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113WAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113LAug 4 · 02:00K. Jha1.301111113T. Pucar3.407870LJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161WJul 24 · 15:10M. Karlsson1.838111181T. Pucar1.8311136113LJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 18 · 17:55T. Pucar2.401011381G. Park1.4812411113
H. Calderano10
LSep 13 · 11:30H. Calderano1.837911891T. Moregard1.831111311114WSep 13 · 05:15H. Calderano1.40111111114A. Kallberg2.7557870WSep 12 · 12:45S. Matsushima1.50912512112H. Calderano2.501110111434WSep 8 · 12:50N. Lum10.004960H. Calderano1.031111113LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161
Upcoming Matches
T. Pucar
H. Calderano
Nothing scheduled
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