TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13091216
Played Sep 8Finished
Nicholas Lum
Home
10.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911611––––
Hugo Calderano
Away
1.03
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 77.7% is still 77.7%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
77.7%
77.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNicholas Lum above · Hugo Calderano below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 77.7%
52 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Calderano
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lum 0% vs Calderano 80%
Calderano
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lum 20% vs Calderano 90%
Calderano
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lum -5 · Calderano -1
Lum
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Calderano) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Calderano form (80%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLum 10.00 / Calderano 1.03
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Calderano)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13091216
Lum10.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Calderano1.03
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLumCalderanoBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 9 / 1020%90%2 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match0.92.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
CalderanoLum 10.00/Calderano 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.7%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Calderano won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
N. Lum10
LAug 10 · 12:20N. Lum3.5091290C. Nuytinck1.281114113LAug 5 · 10:05T. Harimoto1.021111113N. Lum15.003650LAug 4 · 02:00T. Harimoto1.011111113N. Lum12.003650LJun 28 · 20:45N. Lum7.50661151A. Lind1.0711119113LMay 5 · 08:56N. Lum8.009560J. Liang1.061111113LApr 30 · 19:00N. Lum1.5311711192Y. Ham2.38811511113WApr 29 · 11:30N. Lum—1111113E. Ho—6630WApr 28 · 16:45Y. Theophile—4860N. Lum—1111113LApr 9 · 11:55I. Quek1.221111143N. Lum4.0049120LApr 1 · 03:15T. Harimoto1.051111123N. Lum8.5067100
H. Calderano10
LSep 13 · 11:30H. Calderano1.837911891T. Moregard1.831111311114WSep 13 · 05:15H. Calderano1.40111111114A. Kallberg2.7557870WSep 12 · 12:45S. Matsushima1.50912512112H. Calderano2.501110111434WSep 10 · 12:50T. Pucar6.00117631H. Calderano1.1161111113LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113
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