TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13124001
Played Sep 13Finished
Hugo Calderano
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 4
Set by set
711911113811911
Truls Moregard
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHugo Calderano above · Truls Moregard below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:25What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Moregard
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Calderano 80% vs Moregard 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Calderano 90% vs Moregard 70%
Calderano
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Calderano +4 · Moregard +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Calderano)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moregard form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCalderano 1.83 / Moregard 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Calderano)+4.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13124001
Calderano1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Moregard1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCalderanoMoregardBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 7 / 1090%70%9 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.12.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoCalderano 1.83/Moregard 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–4
Moregard won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Calderano10
WSep 13 · 05:15H. Calderano1.40111111114A. Kallberg2.7557870WSep 12 · 12:45S. Matsushima1.50912512112H. Calderano2.501110111434WSep 10 · 12:50T. Pucar6.00117631H. Calderano1.1161111113WSep 8 · 12:50N. Lum10.004960H. Calderano1.031111113LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113
T. Moregard10
WSep 13 · 04:30T. Moregard2.501111612113T. Harimoto1.50136111082WSep 12 · 05:15D. Jorgic3.5017361232T. Moregard1.2815111110114WSep 11 · 12:15S. Togami2.006101351T. Moregard1.73111211113WSep 9 · 12:15P. Franziska2.7511115992T. Moregard1.40581111113LAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113LJul 5 · 21:15T. Moregard1.34118111193V. Sidorenko2.8541153114LJul 5 · 18:15T. Moregard1.30118111193V. Sidorenko3.4041153114WJul 5 · 01:45W. Jang2.2046550T. Moregard1.61111111114WJul 4 · 02:45K. Jha3.75311591T. Moregard1.2511611113WJul 1 · 20:45A. Bertelsmeier4.501211116102T. Moregard1.171013511123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.