TT Lossbeater/World Cup Qualification
World Cup QualificationMatch #11670367
Played Apr 1Finished
Tomokazu Harimoto
Home
1.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161171210––––
Nicholas Lum
Away
8.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomokazu Harimoto above · Nicholas Lum below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10
57 points played in total.
H2H Tomokazu Harimoto 1–0 Nicholas Lum Nicholas Lum has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Harimoto)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Harimoto form (60%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHarimoto 1.05 / Lum 8.50
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Harimoto)-7.8pp (anti-value)
World Cup Qualification · #11670367
Harimoto1.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Lum8.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHarimoto1wins
AwayLum0wins
Harimoto leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHarimotoLumH − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.023.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHarimotoLumBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 97 vs 8 / 2572.2%32%70 / 97 vs 8 / 25Avg sets wonper match2.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match44.233.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HarimotoHarimoto 1.05/Lum 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.2%
Harimoto · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Harimoto won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—T. Harimoto—3N. Lum—0
T. Harimoto10
LAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 18:05S. Togami2.631211101192T. Harimoto1.44147129103WAug 13 · 16:35Y. Uda4.005950T. Harimoto1.221111113WAug 12 · 16:35M. Thakkar8.509860T. Harimoto1.051111113WAug 9 · 10:15T. Harimoto1.267111111114J. Oh3.351174871WAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114WAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 08:30T. Harimoto1.251111113P. Xiang3.757880
N. Lum10
LAug 10 · 12:20N. Lum3.5091290C. Nuytinck1.281114113LAug 5 · 10:05T. Harimoto1.021111113N. Lum15.003650LAug 4 · 02:00T. Harimoto1.011111113N. Lum12.003650LJun 28 · 20:45N. Lum7.50661151A. Lind1.0711119113LMay 5 · 08:56N. Lum8.009560J. Liang1.061111113LApr 30 · 19:00N. Lum1.5311711192Y. Ham2.38811511113WApr 29 · 11:30N. Lum—1111113E. Ho—6630WApr 28 · 16:45Y. Theophile—4860N. Lum—1111113LApr 9 · 11:55I. Quek1.221111143N. Lum4.0049120LMar 30 · 02:15N. Lum4.501143101M. Redzimski1.1771111123
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