TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13091217
Played Sep 9Finished
Manav Vikash Thakkar
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214411119311––
Alexis Lebrun
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeAlexis Lebrun to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingManav Vikash Thakkar above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 75 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Alexis Lebrun at 66.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Manav Vikash Thakkar 0–1 Alexis Lebrun Manav Vikash Thakkar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Thakkar 20% vs Lebrun 60%
Lebrun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Thakkar 20% vs Lebrun 70%
Lebrun
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Thakkar -4 · Lebrun -1
Thakkar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsThakkar 5.00 / Lebrun 1.14
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13091217
Thakkar5.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Lebrun1.14
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeThakkar0wins
AwayLebrun1wins
Lebrun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricThakkarLebrunT − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.045.0−15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricThakkarLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 7 / 1020%70%2 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.52.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunThakkar 5.00/Lebrun 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lebrun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 9 · 07:05M. Thakkar301241131A. Lebrun4514119113
M. Thakkar10
LAug 12 · 16:35M. Thakkar8.509860T. Harimoto1.051111113LAug 5 · 03:45M. Thakkar3.8511861162D. Jorgic1.23911117113LAug 4 · 02:00M. Thakkar4.0011861162D. Jorgic1.22911117113LJul 1 · 01:35C. Wang1.051111113M. Thakkar8.503590WJun 28 · 19:35M. Thakkar4.501210117113F. Coton1.17101271172LJun 18 · 17:55M. Thakkar3.09491471L. Yuan1.30111112113LJun 18 · 04:00M. Thakkar3.25491471L. Yuan1.33111112113LJun 12 · 09:35T. Pucar1.4011615113M. Thakkar2.758111331WJun 10 · 23:00M. Thakkar4.33101111123D. Jorgic1.201298101LJun 4 · 10:10T. Apolonia1.83581111113M. Thakkar1.8311115892
A. Lebrun10
LSep 12 · 10:30A. Kallberg3.4011358114A. Lebrun1.30611111153WSep 11 · 11:05B. Duda2.6361191192A. Lebrun1.44119118113LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113WAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183LAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113LJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113
Upcoming Matches
M. Thakkar
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A. Lebrun
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