TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Alexis Lebrun vs Kay Stumper 3-1 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 19Finished
Alexis Lebrun
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711113112119––
Kay Stumper
Away
6.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKay Stumper to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexis Lebrun above · Kay Stumper below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 65 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Kay Stumper at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lebrun 60% vs Stumper 80%
Stumper
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebrun 70% vs Stumper 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebrun +1 · Stumper +4
Stumper
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stumper form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.10 / Stumper 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13154655
Lebrun1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Stumper6.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunStumperBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.10/Stumper 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Lebrun10
LSep 20 · 12:45A. Lebrun1.3611511662D. Qiu3.00611511114WSep 20 · 07:20A. Lebrun1.5361111113Q. Zhou2.38117581WSep 19 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.101111123R. Yoshiyama6.5053100WSep 18 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.021111123A. Levenko10.5057100LSep 12 · 10:30A. Kallberg3.4011358114A. Lebrun1.30611111153WSep 11 · 11:05B. Duda2.6361191192A. Lebrun1.44119118113WSep 9 · 07:05M. Thakkar5.001241131A. Lebrun1.1414119113LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113
K. Stumper10
WSep 18 · 14:00K. Stumper1.83911119113T. Jarvis1.8311871162WSep 17 · 08:20K. Stumper2.75781111113Y. Tanaka1.4011118972WSep 16 · 13:15K. Stumper2.631111133M. Oikawa1.4424110WSep 15 · 12:35K. Stumper1.061111113V. Zakharov8.003470LSep 9 · 08:40K. Stumper1.5081351192B. Haug2.501111116113WSep 8 · 14:45K. Stumper1.07118911113L. Benko7.5081111182WSep 8 · 14:15K. Stumper1.05118911113L. Benko6.3081111182LJul 24 · 22:55K. Stumper6.5011541172S. Togami1.10411112113WJul 23 · 21:10H. Yamane8.5011115632K. Stumper1.05571111113LJul 5 · 10:20K. Yoshiyama1.82115126113K. Stumper1.82811101152
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