TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12294459
Played Jul 24Finished
Kay Stumper
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114511411112711
Shunsuke Togami
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:50 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeShunsuke Togami to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKay Stumper above · Shunsuke Togami below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 77 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Shunsuke Togami at 62.2%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Togami
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Stumper 40% vs Togami 80%
Togami
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stumper 30% vs Togami 70%
Togami
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stumper +1 · Togami -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Togami) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Togami form (80%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStumper 6.50 / Togami 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Togami)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12294459
Stumper6.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Togami1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStumperTogamiBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 7 / 1030%70%3 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TogamiStumper 6.50/Togami 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Togami · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Togami won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Stumper10
WJul 23 · 21:10H. Yamane8.5011115632K. Stumper1.05571111113LJul 5 · 10:20K. Yoshiyama1.82115126113K. Stumper1.82811101152LJul 4 · 10:55K. Yoshiyama2.10115126113K. Stumper1.67811101152WJul 3 · 16:25K. Stumper1.6191111113P. Jain2.20118441LJun 16 · 09:10K. Stumper1.675760Y. Chang2.101111113LMay 22 · 10:55Y. Kizukuri1.221111113K. Stumper4.007420LMay 17 · 11:55J. Geraldo1.4471112113K. Stumper2.631191061LMay 13 · 10:20K. Stumper1.40214991P. Jain2.75111211113WMay 12 · 16:20K. Stumper1.531111113K. Skachkov2.384890LMar 10 · 11:20K. Stumper1.441197101C. Green2.6381111123
S. Togami10
WSep 6 · 07:30S. Togami1.40121111114S. Gauzy2.75108370WSep 5 · 12:45S. Togami1.171111113K. Hamada4.409870WSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100WSep 3 · 05:00S. Togami1.051111113A. Kurmangaliyev8.508670LAug 14 · 18:05S. Togami2.631211101192T. Harimoto1.44147129103WAug 13 · 17:45S. Togami1.251111113K. Karlsson3.759660WAug 10 · 17:10S. Togami1.221511113C. Wong4.0013370LAug 4 · 10:05B. Duda3.35611119113S. Togami1.2811761162LAug 4 · 02:00B. Duda4.00611119113S. Togami1.2211761162
Upcoming Matches
K. Stumper
Nothing scheduled
S. Togami
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.