TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Alexis Lebrun vs Qihao Zhou 3-1 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 20Finished
Alexis Lebrun
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117115118––
Qihao Zhou
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexis Lebrun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexis Lebrun above · Qihao Zhou below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Alexis Lebrun at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Alexis Lebrun 1–0 Qihao Zhou Qihao Zhou has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:50What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Lebrun 80% vs Zhou 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebrun 80% vs Zhou 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebrun +3 · Zhou +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhou form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.53 / Zhou 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13160188
Lebrun1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zhou2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLebrun1wins
AwayZhou0wins
Lebrun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLebrunZhouL − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.031.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunZhouBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 5 vs 7 / 1080%70%4 / 5 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.53/Zhou 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebrun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 07:20A. Lebrun3961111113Q. Zhou31117581
A. Lebrun10
LSep 20 · 12:45A. Lebrun1.3611511662D. Qiu3.00611511114WSep 19 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.101111123R. Yoshiyama6.5053100WSep 19 · 05:35A. Lebrun1.1071111113K. Stumper6.50113291WSep 18 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.021111123A. Levenko10.5057100LSep 12 · 10:30A. Kallberg3.4011358114A. Lebrun1.30611111153WSep 11 · 11:05B. Duda2.6361191192A. Lebrun1.44119118113WSep 9 · 07:05M. Thakkar5.001241131A. Lebrun1.1414119113LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113
Q. Zhou10
WSep 19 · 11:05Q. Zhou1.53119613113D. Ovtcharov2.38911111182WSep 19 · 05:00Q. Zhou1.53101111113B. Duda2.38126641WSep 18 · 14:00Q. Zhou1.4411119113N. Artemenko2.63391171LSep 12 · 03:45Q. Zhou3.505481181T. Harimoto1.281111116114WSep 11 · 04:45Q. Zhou1.6712811113K. Jha2.101011681WSep 10 · 04:10D. Qiu1.5391211952Q. Zhou2.381110611113LAug 14 · 16:35Q. Zhou3.0011971192S. Matsushima1.36511116113WAug 13 · 18:20A. Kallberg2.38121191192Q. Zhou1.53145118113WAug 10 · 16:35J. An1.83126771Q. Zhou1.83101111113LAug 4 · 02:00S. Matsushima1.1714119113Q. Zhou4.501291191
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