TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Qihao Zhou vs Dimitrij Ovtcharov 3-2 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 19Finished
Qihao Zhou
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199116111311118
Dimitrij Ovtcharov
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDimitrij Ovtcharov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingQihao Zhou above · Dimitrij Ovtcharov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 100 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dimitrij Ovtcharov at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:26What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zhou
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zhou 80% vs Ovtcharov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhou 60% vs Ovtcharov 80%
Ovtcharov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhou +2 · Ovtcharov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zhou) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovtcharov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhou 1.53 / Ovtcharov 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Zhou)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13158104
Zhou1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Ovtcharov2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhouOvtcharovBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 8 / 1060%80%6 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhouZhou 1.53/Ovtcharov 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Zhou · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zhou won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Q. Zhou10
LSep 20 · 07:20A. Lebrun1.5361111113Q. Zhou2.38117581WSep 19 · 05:00Q. Zhou1.53101111113B. Duda2.38126641WSep 18 · 14:00Q. Zhou1.4411119113N. Artemenko2.63391171LSep 12 · 03:45Q. Zhou3.505481181T. Harimoto1.281111116114WSep 11 · 04:45Q. Zhou1.6712811113K. Jha2.101011681WSep 10 · 04:10D. Qiu1.5391211952Q. Zhou2.381110611113LAug 14 · 16:35Q. Zhou3.0011971192S. Matsushima1.36511116113WAug 13 · 18:20A. Kallberg2.38121191192Q. Zhou1.53145118113WAug 10 · 16:35J. An1.83126771Q. Zhou1.83101111113LAug 4 · 02:00S. Matsushima1.1714119113Q. Zhou4.501291191
D. Ovtcharov10
WSep 19 · 06:10R. Kawakami2.25118571D. Ovtcharov1.5791111113WSep 18 · 13:10C. Nuytinck4.335115101D. Ovtcharov1.2011811123LSep 13 · 11:15E. Ranefur2.38810119114D. Ovtcharov1.53111251153WSep 12 · 15:35C. Nuytinck3.75115681D. Ovtcharov1.2551111113WSep 12 · 09:15R. Kawakami2.50111421182D. Ovtcharov1.50616118113WSep 11 · 15:15Y. Kizukuri3.0051141192D. Ovtcharov1.36118118113WSep 10 · 15:50F. Bourrassaud4.5011611752D. Ovtcharov1.17911911113LAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 16:35D. Ovtcharov2.381111113J. Oh1.535760WAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113
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